Familial recurrence-pattern analysis of cleft lip with or without cleft palate

Cleft lip with or without cleft palate (CL/P) is a common congenital malformation with an incidence in European white populations of about 1/1,000. The familial clustering of CL/P has been extensively characterized, and epidemiological studies have proposed monogenic models (with reduced penetrance), multifactorial/threshold models, and mixed major-gene/multifactorial models to explain its inheritance. The recognition of an association between two RFLPs at the transforming growth factor alpha (TGFA) locus and CL/P supports a major-gene component to the etiology of CL/P. Risch has shown that the recurrence risk ratio lambda R (risk to relatives, vs. population prevalence) is a useful pointer to the mode of inheritance. Here we further develop the use of lambda R to analyze recurrence-risk data for CL/P. Recurrence risks for first-, second-, and third-degree relatives equate well with oligogenic models with as few as four loci. A monogenic/additive model is strongly rejected. The limited available twin data are also consistent with this model. A "major gene" interacting epistatically with an oligogenic background is shown to be a plausible alternative. Power calculations for a linkage study to map the CL/P major-risk locus suggest that a sample of 50 affected sib pairs will be adequate, but linkage to minor-risk loci will require very much larger samples.