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Updated: Aug 12, 2026

Establishing a Competing Risk Regression Nomogram Model for Survival Data
Published on: October 23, 2020
[Use of Cox's model in long-term survival analysis of cerebrovascular disease]
1Hengyang Medical College, Hunan.
Insights
Long-term survival rates for cerebrovascular disease patients were significantly lower than the general population. Key risk factors identified include disease recurrence, hypertension, and advanced age.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Epidemiology
- Biostatistics
Context:
- A cohort of 885 patients with cerebrovascular disease was followed over an 8-year period.
- Survival rates were compared against the general population in the same geographic region.
Purpose:
- To assess the long-term survival outcomes of patients diagnosed with cerebrovascular disease.
- To identify significant risk factors impacting survival in this patient cohort.
Summary:
- Survival rates at 3, 5, and 8 years were 86.98%, 75.70%, and 64.26% respectively, all notably lower than expected.
- Cox's proportional hazards model identified disease recurrence (RR=3.29), hypertension (RR=2.17), and age (RR=1.65) as significant predictors of mortality.
Impact:
- Findings highlight the critical need for proactive management of cerebrovascular disease.
- Identified risk factors can inform targeted interventions to improve patient prognosis and reduce mortality.
Abstract:
A long-term survival study on 885 cases of cerebrovascular disease was carried out. The results showed that after follow-up for 3, 5, and 8 years, the survival rates were 86.98%, 75.70% and 64.26% respectively, and all were lower obviously than that of the general population in the same district. The results of Cox's model analysis showed that recurrence, hypertension and age were the risk factors influencing the long-term survival of cerebrovascular disease, and the relative risks were 3.29, 2.17 and 1.65 respectively.
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