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The relationship between cholesterol and survival in patients with chronic heart failure
Mathias Rauchhaus1, Andrew L Clark, Wolfram Doehner
1Clinical Cardiology, National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College School of Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Insights
Lower serum total cholesterol is linked to a worse prognosis in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). Higher cholesterol levels independently predict better survival in CHF patients, regardless of other risk factors.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Biochemistry
Background:
- Elevated lipoprotein levels are recognized cardiovascular risk factors.
- The prognostic significance of endogenous lipoproteins in chronic heart failure (CHF) remains incompletely understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To elucidate the relationship between serum cholesterol levels and survival outcomes in patients diagnosed with chronic heart failure (CHF).
Main Methods:
- A derivation cohort of 114 patients with CHF was followed for at least 12 months.
- A validation cohort of 303 unselected CHF patients was used to confirm findings.
- The association between endogenous lipoproteins and patient survival was analyzed.
Main Results:
- In the derivation cohort, higher total serum cholesterol independently predicted survival (hazard ratio 0.64).
- A cholesterol cut-off of ≤5.2 mmol/l best predicted 12-month mortality.
- In the validation cohort, survival increased by 25% for each mmol/l increment in total cholesterol.
Conclusions:
- Lower serum total cholesterol is independently associated with a poorer prognosis in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF).
- Cholesterol's prognostic value in CHF warrants further investigation.
Objectives:
We sought to describe the relationship between cholesterol and survival in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF).
Background:
Increasing lipoprotein levels are a cardiovascular risk factor. In patients with CHF, the prognostic value of endogenous lipoproteins is not fully clarified.
Methods:
A group of 114 patients with CHF recruited to a metabolic study was followed for a minimum of 12 months (derivation study). The results were applied to a second group of 303 unselected patients with CHF (validation study). The relationship between endogenous lipoproteins and survival was explored.
Results:
In the derivation study, survival at 12 months was 78% (95% confidence interval [CI] 70% to 86%) and 56% (95% CI 51% to 62%) at 36 months. Increasing total serum cholesterol was a predictor of survival (hazard ratio 0.64, 95% CI 0.48 to 0.86), independent of the etiology of CHF, age, left ventricular ejection fraction, and exercise capacity. Receiver-operating characteristic curves demonstrated a best cut-off value of =5.2 mmol/l (200.8 mg/dl) as being the best predictor of mortality at 12 months (sensitivity 80.0%, specificity 62.9%). In the validation population, one-year survival was 88% (95% CI 84 to 91%) and three-year survival was 68% (95% CI 63 to 73%). The chance of survival increased 25% for each mmol/l increment in total cholesterol. Survival rates above and below the cut-off value for cholesterol in patients with ischemic heart disease (n = 181) were 92% (95% CI 89 to 94) versus 75% (95% CI 64 to 85%) at one year and 72% (95% CI 67 to 76%) versus 50% (95% CI 43 to 56%) at three years.
Conclusions:
In patients with CHF, lower serum total cholesterol is independently associated with a worse prognosis.
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