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Measures of association in clinical trials: definition and interpretation
1Centro de Estudos de Medicina Baseada na Evidência, Faculdade de Medicina de Lisboa, Lisboa, Portugal.
Insights
Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) establish causality for treatments. This paper explains how to interpret key measures like relative risk and number needed to treat from RCTs for better clinical decisions.
Area of Science:
- Clinical Epidemiology
- Biostatistics
- Evidence-Based Medicine
Background:
- Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for establishing causality between interventions and outcomes.
- Cardiologists need reliable evidence, such as RCT results, to guide treatment decisions for conditions like congestive heart failure (CHF).
- Clinical trial results are typically presented as event proportions in experimental and control groups.
Purpose of the Study:
- To clarify the meaning and interpretation of various measures of association used in randomized controlled trials.
- To enhance the understanding of how to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of therapeutic interventions.
Main Methods:
- Discussion of statistical measures commonly reported in RCTs.
- Explanation of dichotomous outcomes and their presentation in clinical trials.
- Focus on interpreting absolute risk, relative risk, odds ratios, and number needed to treat/harm.
Main Results:
- RCTs allow for the establishment of a causal relationship between an intervention and an outcome.
- Understanding measures of association is crucial for interpreting the clinical significance of trial findings.
- Standardized presentation of results in RCTs facilitates evidence-based decision-making.
Conclusions:
- Accurate interpretation of statistical measures from RCTs is essential for evidence-based practice.
- This paper provides a guide to understanding key metrics for evaluating therapeutic interventions.
- Improved interpretation of RCT data supports better patient care and clinical decision-making.
Abstract:
The choice of randomized controlled trials as the best evidence on therapeutic (or preventive) measures is based on the fact that this design is the only one that allows the establishment of causality, i.e. a relationship between an intervention and an outcome. For example, it is essential for the cardiologist treating patients with congestive heart failure (CHF) from systolic dysfunction of the left ventricle to know if the use of selective beta-blockers will reduce mortality. In order to find this out, he must have access to the published evidence on beta-blockers use in CHF, either through primary sources--RCTs--or secondary sources--systematic reviews. The results from clinical trials must be presented in a standardized way: in RCTs, authors usually present proportions (or rates, or percentages) of events (acute myocardial infarction, stroke, death) in each study group: experimental and control. These events are usually dichotomous, i.e. they are either present or not. In this paper, we will discuss the meaning as well as the interpretation of a number of measures of association in RCTs: absolute risk and absolute risk reduction, relative risk and relative risk reduction, odds ratios, number needed to treat and number needed to harm.
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