A spatial analysis of 100 surnames in England and Wales

Spatial patterns are described and analysed for the 84 most common surnames in England and Wales, as well as 16 others selected for various reasons. At least three-quarters of the surname frequencies show spatial structure and are heterogeneous over the area of study. While they do not exhibit clines extending over the entire area of study, they do divide into four characteristics patterns. Spatial autocorrelation, while significant, is relatively low; similarity in surname frequency does not extend much beyond 100 km. Correlograms could be clustered to yield groups of surfaces denoting partial clines, isolation by distance, and differentiation at far distances. A method for detecting zones of rapid change found 21 such zones, mostly near the periphery of the study area. These boundaries do not indicate barriers to gene flow, but appear to be patterns brought about by historical factors. There are diffusion patterns between areas that differ greatly in surname composition, such as Wales and central England. There is little evidence of long-distance movements involving several surnames. At least three characteristic migration patterns, east-west and north-south diffusion and local dispersal, were found.