The evolution of virulence in pathogens with frequency-dependent transmission
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Published on: April 2, 2013
1Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Osborn Memorial Laboratories, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06520-8106, USA. kara.okeefe@yale.edu
Abstract:
Frequency-dependent transmission is an important feature of diseases that are sexually transmitted or transmitted by a vector that actively searches for hosts. Here I describe the evolution of virulence in pathogens that have frequency-dependent transmission. I consider two components of virulence--an increase in host mortality due to infection, as is classically described, and a decrease in host fecundity due to infection, because frequency dependence is common among diseases that fully or partially sterilize their hosts. Theoretical predictions pertaining to host-pathogen numerical dynamics can be quite different between pathogens with frequency-dependent transmission and those with density-dependent transmission. In contrast, this study suggests that the principles governing the evolution of virulence that have been established in the context of density-dependent pathogens may also apply (qualitatively) to frequency-dependent pathogens. I examine the evolutionary trajectories of the mortality and sterility components of virulence as well as the role of spatial population structure in the evolution of the sterility component of virulence.
Insights
This study explores how virulence evolves in pathogens with frequency-dependent transmission, suggesting established principles may apply. It examines mortality and fecundity impacts, and spatial structure effects on sterility.
Area of Science:
- Evolutionary biology
- Epidemiology
- Pathogen dynamics
Background:
- Frequency-dependent transmission is key for sexually transmitted and vector-borne diseases.
- Virulence has two components: increased host mortality and decreased host fecundity.
- Sterilizing pathogens are common in frequency-dependent transmission systems.
Purpose of the Study:
- To describe the evolution of virulence in pathogens with frequency-dependent transmission.
- To compare virulence evolution principles between frequency-dependent and density-dependent transmission.
- To investigate the role of spatial structure in the evolution of virulence.
Main Methods:
- Theoretical modeling of host-pathogen dynamics.
- Analysis of virulence components: mortality and sterility.
- Examination of spatial population structure effects.
Main Results:
- Principles of virulence evolution established for density-dependent pathogens may qualitatively apply to frequency-dependent pathogens.
- Frequency-dependent transmission can lead to different host-pathogen numerical dynamics compared to density-dependent transmission.
- Spatial structure influences the evolution of the sterility component of virulence.
Conclusions:
- The evolution of virulence in frequency-dependent systems shares qualitative similarities with density-dependent systems.
- Understanding virulence evolution requires considering both mortality and fecundity impacts.
- Spatial dynamics are crucial for comprehending the evolution of pathogen-induced sterility.
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