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Published on: October 23, 2020
Risk stratification in coronary disease: a contrary viewpoint
1Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, NY.
Insights
Noninvasive stress testing aims to identify patients at high risk for cardiac events but has limitations. Its effectiveness in predicting cardiac death and guiding invasive procedures like bypass surgery remains unproven.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Diagnostic Imaging
Background:
- Noninvasive stress testing is standard for identifying patients at risk of cardiac death and myocardial infarction.
- Current methods rely on detecting significant coronary stenosis, but have low positive predictive value in exercising populations.
- Emerging data indicate rapid progression of coronary artery disease (CAD) in minimally obstructed segments contributes to adverse events.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the effectiveness of noninvasive stress testing in identifying patients who would benefit from invasive cardiac studies.
- To assess the role of noninvasive testing as an intermediate step for selecting patients for coronary angiography and potential bypass surgery.
Main Methods:
- The study reviews current recommendations and data regarding noninvasive stress testing for cardiac risk assessment.
- It analyzes the diagnostic limitations, including positive predictive value and the challenge of detecting rapidly progressing disease.
- The role of catheterization in predicting bypass surgery candidacy is considered.
Main Results:
- Noninvasive stress testing's ability to accurately predict cardiac death and myocardial infarction is limited by low event prevalence in certain patient groups.
- The detection of physiologically significant coronary stenosis is the primary limitation.
- Rapid progression of disease in initially minimally obstructed segments poses a challenge for current noninvasive methods.
Conclusions:
- Noninvasive stress testing is an attractive but unproven hypothesis as an intermediate step for selecting patients for invasive cardiac studies.
- Catheterization remains the only modality proven in randomized trials to predict bypass surgery candidacy.
- Further research is needed to improve the accuracy and utility of noninvasive testing in cardiac risk stratification.
Abstract:
Noninvasive stress testing is generally recommended to detect patients who are at increased risk for cardiac death and myocardial infarction. Such tests depend on the presence of a physiologically significant coronary stenosis to detect disease. The low prevalence of events in patients who are able to exercise, however, results in a poor positive predictive value. Also, recent data suggest that a significant number of morbid events result from rapid progression of disease in segments of the coronary artery that initially had only minimal obstruction. Further, from a therapeutic standpoint, only catheterization has been shown in randomized trials to predict which patients are candidates for bypass surgery. Thus, noninvasive testing as an intermediate step to select those patients who require invasive study remains an attractive but unproven hypothesis.
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