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Cognitive function predicts first-time stroke and heart disease
Jacob S Elkins1, David S Knopman, Kristine Yaffe
1University of California, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA. jacob.elkins@ucsfmedctr.org
Insights
Impaired cognitive function in middle-aged adults can predict future cardiovascular disease risk, independent of other known risk factors. This finding highlights cognitive tests as potential early indicators for cardiovascular events.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Cardiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Vascular injury in the brain may manifest as early cognitive impairment.
- Identifying early predictors of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is crucial for timely intervention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if cognitive dysfunction predicts subsequent cardiovascular events.
- To assess cognitive function as an early marker of brain vascular injury.
Main Methods:
- 12,096 middle-aged participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study without prior stroke or coronary heart disease (CHD).
- Cognitive function assessed using Digit-Symbol Substitution Test (DSST), Word Fluency Test, and Delayed Word Recall Test.
- Cox proportional hazards analysis used to evaluate cognitive scores as predictors of incident cardiovascular events.
Main Results:
- Lower cognitive test scores predicted increased risk of cardiovascular events over a median 6.4-year follow-up.
- The association remained significant after adjusting for established vascular risk factors.
- The predictive power of cognitive tests was comparable to established CVD risk markers like left ventricular hypertrophy.
Conclusions:
- Cognitive test performance below demographic norms is an independent predictor of incident cardiovascular disease in middle-aged individuals.
- Cognitive function may serve as an early indicator of subclinical vascular injury.
- These findings support the integration of cognitive assessments in cardiovascular risk prediction.
Objective:
To investigate whether impaired cognitive function is an early manifestation of vascular injury in the brain and therefore predicts risk of subsequent cardiovascular disease.
Methods:
The study population consisted of 12,096 middle-aged participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study who had no history of stroke or coronary heart disease (CHD) at the time of cognitive testing. Cognitive function was measured using the Digit-Symbol Substitution Test (DSST), the Word Fluency Test, and the Delayed Word Recall Test. Cognitive test scores were adjusted for demographic factors and then evaluated as predictors of incident cardiovascular events using Cox proportional hazards analysis.
Results:
Over a median follow-up period of 6.4 years, there were 516 incident cardiovascular events (292 myocardial infarctions, 50 CHD deaths, and 174 strokes), resulting in an average annual incidence rate of 0.7%. Lower adjusted scores on each cognitive test predicted a greater risk of incident cardiovascular events after controlling for established vascular risk factors (highest vs lowest quartile DSST, adjusted hazard ratio 1.56, 95% CI 1.23 to 1.97, p for linear trend by quartile < 0.001). The magnitude of the association was comparable with other commonly used predictors of vascular risk such as left ventricular hypertrophy on EKG and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level of <35 mg/dL.
Conclusion:
Cognitive test scores below demographic norms predict incident cardiovascular disease in middle-aged subjects independently of established vascular risk factors.
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