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From "prehypertension" to hypertension? Additional evidence
1Department of Economics, University of Toledo, Toledo, OH 43606, USA. cwinega@buckeye-express.com
Insights
Prehypertension, defined as blood pressure between 120-139/80-89 mmHg, significantly increases the risk of developing hypertension. Younger individuals with "high normal" prehypertension face the greatest risk.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Recent U.S. guidelines established new blood pressure categories, including
Purpose of the Study:
- To empirically assess how well prehypertension predicts the early transition to hypertension.
- To investigate the predictive value of newly defined blood pressure categories.
Main Methods:
- Utilized longitudinal data from two British Health and Lifestyle Surveys (7 years apart).
- Analyzed a subsample of 2048 normotensive men and women at baseline.
- Employed binomial regression to estimate relative risks (RR) for hypertension, dividing prehypertension into "normal" (120-129/80-85 mmHg) and "high normal" (130-139/85-89 mmHg) subcategories.
Main Results:
- Individuals in the "normal" prehypertension subcategory had an RR of 2.0 (CI, 1.6, 2.6) for developing hypertension.
- Those in the "high normal" prehypertension subcategory showed a higher RR of 2.9 (CI, 2.3, 3.7).
- The highest risks were observed in "high normal" individuals aged 35 to 44 years.
Conclusions:
- Findings support the predictive role of prehypertension for future hypertension, particularly in younger adults.
- The study provides more conservative estimates compared to Framingham-based predictions.
- The results underscore the importance of lifestyle modifications and monitoring for individuals in prehypertensive states.
Purpose:
Recent U.S. guidelines redefining blood-pressure categories have generated a continuing controversy regarding the new "prehypertensive" category (systolic, 120-139, diastolic, 80-89), signifying heightened risk of progression to outright hypertension and a need for lifestyle changes and frequent follow-up. This study addresses an incompletely-explored empirical question: how well does prehypertension predict an early transition to hypertension?
Methods:
Blood-pressure and other longitudinal data obtained from two British Health and Lifestyle Surveys conducted 7 years apart were used to form a subsample of 2048 men and women normotensive at baseline. Prehypertension was divided into subcategories: "normal" (systolic, 120-129; diastolic, 80-85) and "high normal" (systolic, 130-139; diastolic, 85-89), with "optimal" (systolic, < 120; diastolic < 80) as reference. Binomial regression was used to estimate adjusted relative risks (RR) and confidence intervals (CI) for hypertension at follow-up. This is an appropriate method (and preferable to logistic regression) when the outcome is common.
Results:
Estimated RR for the "normal" subcategory was 2.0 (CI, 1.6, 2.6) and for "high normals," 2.9 (CI, 2.3, 3.7). Separate regressions by age bracket showed the greatest risks for high normals aged 35 to 44 years.
Conclusions:
The results support the hypothesized prehypertension effects, especially for younger high normals, but are more conservative than the Framingham-based estimates.
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