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Published on: June 11, 2012
Blood glucose: a strong risk factor for mortality in nondiabetic patients with cardiovascular disease
Sidney C Port1, Mark O Goodarzi, Noel G Boyle
1Department of Statistics, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095-1555, USA. sport@ucla.edu
Insights
Blood glucose levels, even within the normal range, significantly predict mortality in cardiovascular disease patients. Higher blood glucose correlates with increased risk of death, even without diabetes.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Metabolic Health
- Clinical Research
Background:
- Prognostic significance of blood glucose (BG) in nondiabetic patients with stable cardiovascular disease (CVD) is understudied.
- Little is known about mortality risk related to normal blood glucose ranges in these patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the relationship between random blood glucose levels and mortality in nondiabetic patients with existing CVD.
- To determine if there is a graded mortality risk across normal blood glucose ranges and if a lower threshold exists.
Main Methods:
- Utilized 30-year Framingham Heart Study data.
- Analyzed 2-year all-cause, cardiovascular mortality (CVM), and non-CVM risk.
- Adjusted for age, sex, and traditional CVD risk factors in nondiabetic subjects without glucose intolerance.
Main Results:
- Demonstrated a steep, graded relationship between blood glucose and mortality across normal and subdiabetic ranges.
- Mortality risk increased continuously from the lowest normal BG (60 mg/dL) to the highest considered (119 mg/dL).
- No lower threshold for increased mortality risk was observed within the normal blood glucose range.
Conclusions:
- Blood glucose within the normal range is a significant independent predictor of mortality in nondiabetic CVD patients.
- Elevated blood glucose, even if not diabetic, carries prognostic weight for high-risk cardiovascular patients.
- Findings highlight the importance of monitoring blood glucose in CVD management.
Background:
The prognostic significance of blood glucose (BG) for nondiabetic patients in a stable chronic phase of cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been sparsely investigated, especially for glucose within the normal range. In particular, it is unknown if for these patients there is a graded relation of mortality to glucose or if there is a lower threshold.
Methods:
We used the Framingham Heart Study 30-year data to determine 2-year all-cause, cardiovascular mortality (CVM), and non-CVM risk adjusted for age, sex, and typical cardiovascular risk factors (systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, body mass index, cigarette smoking, and use of antihypertensive drugs) by levels of random whole BG for non-glucose-intolerant subjects (glucose intolerance includes diabetes mellitus) with existing CVD.
Results:
There were steep graded relations of 2-year all-cause, CVM, and non-CVM to BG throughout the normal and subdiabetic range with no evidence of a lower threshold. Two-year mortality continuously increased from 2.99% at the bottom of the normal range (BG = 60 [plasma equivalent = 67] mg/dL) to 7.23% at the top of the normal range (89 [plasma equivalent = 100] mg/dL) (a 2.42-fold increase) and then continued to further continuously increase, reaching 11.38% at 119 [plasma equivalent = 133] mg/dL, the top of the glucose range considered (P for trend < .0001). There were analogous steep increases for CVM and non-CVM.
Conclusions:
Blood glucose, even within the normal range, is a strong independent predictor of 2-year all-cause, CVM, and non-CVM in nondiabetic subjects with CVD and therefore of prognostic significance for these high-risk patients.
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