VIRTUS, a model of virus transport in unsaturated soils

As a result of the recently proposed mandatory groundwater disinfection requirements to inactivate viruses in potable water supplies, there has been increasing interest in virus fate and transport in the subsurface. Several models have been developed to predict the fate of viruses in groundwater, but few include transport in the unsaturated zone and all require a constant virus inactivation rate. These are serious limitations in the models, as it has been well documented that considerable virus removal occurs in the unsaturated zone and that the inactivation rate of viruses is dependent on environmental conditions. The purpose of this research was to develop a predictive model of virus fate and transport in unsaturated soils that allows the virus inactivation rate to vary on the basis of changes in soil temperature. The model was developed on the basis of the law of mass conservation of a contaminant in porous media and couples the flows of water, viruses, and heat through the soil. Model predictions were compared with measured data of virus transport in laboratory column studies and, with the exception of one point, were within the 95% confidence limits of the measured concentrations. The model should be a useful tool for anyone wishing to estimate the number of viruses entering groundwater after traveling through the soil from a contamination source. In addition, model simulations were performed to identify parameters that have a large effect on the results. This information can be used to help design experiments so that important variables are measured accurately.