Prognosis of late life depression: a three-year cohort study of outcome and potential predictors
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Published on: February 22, 2018
Robert C Baldwin1, Andrew Gallagley, Mhairi Gourlay
1Old Age Psychiatry, Manchester Royal Infirmary, Manchester, UK. robert.c.baldwin@manchester.ac.uk
Insights
Late-onset depression (LOD) is linked to increased mortality and dementia risk. Poor prognosis in LOD patients may be predicted by vascular risk factors like low HDL and high ESR.
Area of Science:
- Geriatric Psychiatry
- Neuroscience
- Vascular Neurology
Background:
- Late-onset depression (LOD) often has a poor prognosis.
- Cerebrovascular disease may exacerbate LOD outcomes.
- Limited prospective research exists on vascular risk factors influencing long-term LOD prognosis.
Purpose of the Study:
- To prospectively investigate the influence of vascular risk factors on the longer-term prognosis of late-onset depression.
- To assess the relationship between baseline variables and outcomes in LOD patients over three years.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 50 patients with LOD and 35 healthy controls were followed for three years.
- Baseline assessments included clinical, neuroradiological, and neuropsychological data.
- Outcomes measured were mortality, progression to dementia, and clinical course of depression.
Main Results:
- Seven participants died (all with LOD); six developed dementia (mostly from the LOD group).
- Poor outcome in LOD was associated with lower High Density Lipoprotein (HDL), elevated Erythrocyte Sedimentation Rate (ESR), higher Hachinski Index scores, and impaired immediate memory.
- Initial treatment response did not predict later outcomes.
Conclusions:
- Late-onset depression is associated with significant mortality and dementia rates.
- Biochemical (e.g., HDL) and inflammatory markers (e.g., ESR) may hold prognostic value in LOD.
- Further research is needed to confirm the role of these markers in predicting LOD outcomes.
Background:
Late-onset depression (LOD) has a poor prognosis which may be worsened by the presence of cerebrovascular disease. Few studies have explored prospectively the influence of vascular risk factors on longer term prognosis.
Methods:
The original study involved 50 patients with LOD and 35 healthy age matched controls. Follow-up was at three years. Baseline measures included clinical, neuroradiological and neuropsychological variables. Outcome was assessed by mortality, progression to dementia and clinical course of depressive disorder.
Results:
Sixty-two (73%) of the original cohort agreed to be re-interviewed. Seven participants had died (all from the depressed group) and six developed dementia, all but one from the depressed group. Vascular dementia predominated (although not significantly so) among those with dementia at follow-up. For 28 depressed patients with complete follow-up data (56% of the original sample), poor outcome was predicted by lower High Density Lipoprotein (HDL), raised Erythrocyte Sedimentation Rate (ESR) and a higher score on the Hachinski Index scale and one test of immediate memory. Initial response to treatment was not associated with later outcome.
Conclusion:
Late-onset depressive disorder is associated with a high rate of mortality and possibly dementia. Biochemical and inflammatory markers may be important in prognosis and their role should be confirmed in future studies.
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