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Cardiac risk assessment: matching intensity of therapy to risk
Mark R Vesely1, Mark D Kelemen
1Division of Cardiology, University of Maryland School of Medicine, 22 South Greene Street, Baltimore, MD 21202, USA.
Insights
Risk scoring systems effectively triage low- and high-risk patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndromes (NSTEACS). Intermediate-risk patients require further evaluation with multimarker strategies and prospective clinical trials for optimal care.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Emergency Medicine
- Clinical Risk Assessment
Background:
- Risk stratification is crucial for managing non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndromes (NSTEACS).
- Current scoring systems effectively identify highest and lowest risk patients.
- Management strategies for intermediate-risk NSTEACS patients remain unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the effectiveness of risk scoring systems in NSTEACS patient triage.
- To propose improved risk stratification methods for intermediate-risk patients.
- To advocate for clinical trials defining risk-based care pathways.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of existing data on risk scoring systems in NSTEACS.
- Review of current consensus guidelines and quality-improvement initiatives (e.g., CRUSADE, GRACE).
- Proposal of a multimarker strategy for intermediate-risk patients.
Main Results:
- Risk scoring systems (e.g., TRS) perform well for highest and lowest risk NSTEACS patients.
- Discrimination is less precise for intermediate-risk patients (30-40% of ACS cases).
- Current guidelines offer limited clarity for intermediate-risk patient management.
Conclusions:
- Intermediate-risk NSTEACS patients benefit from initial screening with risk scores (e.g., TRS 3-4) and subsequent multimarker assessment.
- Prospective clinical trials are needed to establish risk-based treatment strategies.
- Future acute cardiac care should focus on early high-risk identification and tailored, efficient treatment.
Abstract:
Simple RSS allow for rapid decision making in the emergency department. The data presented in this article suggest that for patients at the highest risk and the lowest risk for complications of NSTEACS, the scoring systems work well and allow effective triage and treatment. For patients at intermediate risk (30%-40% of all patients who have ACS), however, it is not clear whether early aggressive treatment with cardiac catheterization or routine conservative management should be the standard of care. The consensus guidelines are vague, and the scoring systems discriminate less well for these patients. The authors think that patients at intermediate risk are best served by initial screening with an RSS like the TRS (with risk scores of 3-4), followed by a multimarker strategy to define risk better. They also think that the next step is to design clinical trials to test strategies of care defined prospectively by risk. This step would, in the authors' opinion, begin the next round of the cycle of clinical therapeutics [31]. The treatment of patients who have NSTE ACS has been characterized in the past 2 decades by care based on evidence from many excellent clinical tri-als. The consensus panels have convened and guide patient management. Quality-improvement initiatives such as CRUSADE and GRACE give feedback to improve compliance with guidelines. The understanding of risk is developing with the help of these scoring systems. Discovery is ongoing. The next decade of acute cardiac care will focus on early identification of patients at high risk and on matching the most intensive treatments to the patients most in need. Excessive testing and care promotes cost inefficiency and, perhaps, increased hazard for some patients. New trials are needed to move these new hypotheses back into practice.
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