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Learning from the U.S. National Assessment of Climate Change Impacts
M Granger Morgan1, Robin Cantor, William C Clark
1Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 15213, USA. granger.morgan@andrew.cmu.edu
The U.S. National Assessment of the Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change was successful. Future climate assessments can improve with better objective alignment, participant training, flexible budgeting, and continuous processes.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Climate Science
- Policy Analysis
Background:
- The U.S. National Assessment of the Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change involved numerous experts and stakeholders.
- Evaluating large-scale, federally coordinated scientific assessments is crucial for understanding their effectiveness and identifying areas for improvement.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the success of the U.S. National Assessment of the Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change.
- To identify lessons learned and provide recommendations for future climate assessments.
Main Methods:
- Development and administration of an extensive survey.
- Preparation of a series of working papers.
- Conducting an invitational workshop with experts and stakeholders.
Main Results:
- The assessment was largely successful in its design of distributed stakeholder involvement.
- The assessment largely achieved its basic objectives.
- Key areas for improvement were identified for future assessments.
Conclusions:
- Future climate assessments require clearer collective objectives and better participant guidance and training.
- Enhanced budgeting flexibility and integration into ongoing processes are recommended for future assessments.
- The study provides valuable insights for improving the methodology and impact of large-scale climate change assessments.
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