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Dangerous climate change: the role for risk research
Irene Lorenzoni1, Nick F Pidgeon, Robert E O'Connor
1Centre for Environmental Risk and Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK. i.lorenzoni@uea.ac.uk
Defining "dangerous climate change" is complex, requiring more than just scientific risk assessments. Societal perceptions and value judgments are crucial for effective climate policy and decision-making.
Area of Science:
- Climate Science
- Risk Analysis
- Risk Communication
Background:
- The concept of "dangerous climate change" is central to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change but remains ambiguously defined.
- Current definitions rely heavily on scientific risk assessments, which alone are insufficient for long-term policy development.
Purpose of the Study:
- To explore the intersection of climate science, risk communication, and risk perception in defining climate change danger.
- To examine challenges in developing coherent, interdisciplinary responses to climate change risks.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of nine articles from a Special Issue of Risk Analysis.
- Examination of themes including scientific understanding limits, public perception of danger, socio-cultural influences, risk communication strategies, and decision-making approaches.
Main Results:
- Scientific understanding has limits in defining danger; societal values and perceptions significantly influence responses.
- Public perceptions of climate change danger vary widely due to social and cultural factors.
- Effective climate change decision-making requires integrating scientific data with diverse societal considerations.
Conclusions:
- Addressing climate change danger necessitates an interdisciplinary approach that incorporates value judgments and public perception alongside scientific risk assessment.
- New policy tools and nested solutions are needed to bridge the gap between scientific interpretations and societal understanding of climate change risks.
- Action on climate change is imperative, acknowledging the context-specific nature of perceived danger.
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