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The rising share of nonmarital births: fertility choice or marriage behavior?
Jo Anna Gray1, Jean Stockard, Joe Stone
1Department of Economics, University of Oregon, Eugene, OR 97403-1285, USA. jgray@uoregon.edu
Abstract:
Much of the sharp rise in the share of nonmarital births in the United States has been attributed to changes in the fertility choices of unmarried and married women-in response, it is often argued, to public policy. In contrast, we develop and test a model that attributes the rise to changes in marriage behavior, with no necessary changes infertility. A variety of empirical tests strongly support this conclusion and invites focused attention to issues related to marriage behavior as well as to the interactions between marriage and fertility.
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