High serum C-reactive protein level is not an independent predictor for stroke: the Rotterdam Study

Michiel J Bos1, C Maarten A Schipper, Peter J Koudstaal

  • 1Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Erasmus Medical Center, PO Box 1738, 3000 DR Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

Circulation
|October 4, 2006
PubMed

Insights

High C-reactive protein (CRP) levels are linked to increased stroke risk, but do not improve individual stroke risk prediction. This finding impacts cardiovascular risk assessment strategies.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Neurology
  • Biomarkers

Background:

  • Current guidelines suggest high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) for cardiovascular risk prediction.
  • Emerging evidence questions the predictive value of CRP despite its association with cardiovascular disease.
  • The study investigates CRP's role as both a risk factor and predictor for future stroke.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine if C-reactive protein (CRP) levels are associated with the risk of future stroke.
  • To evaluate the utility of CRP in predicting individual stroke risk.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from 6430 participants (age ≥55, stroke-free at baseline) in the Rotterdam Study (1990-1993).
  • Assessed stroke risk variation with baseline CRP serum levels using Cox proportional hazards models.
  • Evaluated CRP's predictive accuracy for individual stroke risk via receiver operating characteristic curves.

Main Results:

  • Over 8.2 years, 498 first-ever strokes occurred.
  • Elevated CRP levels showed a significant association with the risk of any stroke (HR 1.14) and ischemic stroke (HR 1.17).
  • Incorporating CRP levels did not enhance individual stroke risk prediction accuracy, even when combined with established scores like the Framingham stroke risk score.

Conclusions:

  • C-reactive protein (CRP) levels are demonstrably associated with an increased risk of stroke.
  • The clinical utility of CRP for assessing individual stroke risk appears limited.
  • Further research may be needed to clarify CRP's role in stroke risk stratification.
Abstract

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