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Published on: November 5, 2019
Spatiotemporal analysis of invasive meningococcal disease, Germany
Johannes Elias1, Dag Harmsen, Heike Claus
1University of Würzburg, Würzburg, Germany.
Abstract:
Meningococci can cause clusters of disease. Specimens from 1,616 patients in Germany obtained over 42 months were typed by serogrouping and sequence typing of PorA and FetA and yielded a highly diverse dataset (Simpson's index 0.963). A retrospective spatiotemporal scan statistic (SaTScan) was applied in an automated fashion to identify clusters for each finetype defined by serogroup variable region (VR) VR1 and VR2 of the PorA and VR of the FetA. A total of 26 significant clusters (p< or =0.05) were detected. On average, a cluster consisted of 2.6 patients. The median population in the geographic area of a cluster was 475,011, the median cluster duration was 4.0 days, and the proportion of cases in spatiotemporal clusters was 4.2%. The study exemplifies how the combination of molecular finetyping and spatiotemporal analysis can be used to assess an infectious disease in a large European country.
Insights
Molecular fine-typing and spatiotemporal analysis identified 26 significant meningococcal disease clusters in Germany. This approach helps assess infectious disease outbreaks in large populations.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Microbiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Meningococci are known to cause disease clusters.
- Effective surveillance requires understanding disease distribution and transmission patterns.
Purpose of the Study:
- To apply molecular fine-typing and spatiotemporal analysis to identify and characterize meningococcal disease clusters in Germany.
- To assess the utility of combining these methods for infectious disease surveillance.
Main Methods:
- Serogrouping and sequence typing of PorA and FetA genes for molecular fine-typing of 1,616 patient specimens.
- Retrospective spatiotemporal scan statistic (SaTScan) analysis to detect significant disease clusters.
- Definition of finetypes based on PorA and FetA variable regions (VRs).
Main Results:
- A highly diverse dataset of meningococcal strains was generated (Simpson's index 0.963).
- A total of 26 significant spatiotemporal clusters (p<=0.05) were detected.
- Clusters averaged 2.6 patients, with a median population of 475,011 and duration of 4.0 days. 4.2% of cases were in clusters.
Conclusions:
- The combination of molecular fine-typing and spatiotemporal analysis is effective for identifying meningococcal disease clusters.
- This integrated approach enhances the assessment of infectious diseases in large European countries.
- The findings provide insights into meningococcal disease epidemiology and support targeted public health interventions.
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