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Published on: January 5, 2018
Denial predicts recidivism for some sexual offenders
Kevin L Nunes1, R Karl Hanson, Philip Firestone
1Programming Research Division, Research Branch, Correctional Service Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada. Kevin_Nunes@carleton.ca
Denial predicts sexual recidivism differently based on offender risk level. Low-risk offenders show increased recidivism with denial, while high-risk offenders show decreased recidivism, impacting risk assessment strategies.
Area of Science:
- Forensic Psychology
- Criminology
- Clinical Psychology
Background:
- Denial is a common defense mechanism in sexual offenders.
- Understanding factors influencing denial and recidivism is crucial for effective treatment and risk management.
- Previous research has yielded mixed results on the relationship between denial and sexual recidivism.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate variables moderating the relationship between denial and sexual recidivism in adult male sexual offenders.
- To examine the role of risk assessment scores and psychopathy in this relationship.
- To explore specific risk factors, such as relationship to victims, that may interact with denial.
Main Methods:
- The study involved three independent samples of adult male sexual offenders (N = 489, N = 490, N = 73).
- Recidivism was assessed in relation to denial, risk level (using Rapid Risk Assessment for Sexual Offense Recidivism), and psychopathy (using Psychopathy Checklist-Revised).
- Statistical analyses examined moderation effects and conducted post hoc analyses on specific risk items.
Main Results:
- Risk level, but not psychopathy, significantly moderated the denial-recidivism link.
- Denial was associated with increased recidivism in low-risk offenders and decreased recidivism in high-risk offenders.
- The "relationship to victims" risk factor was key; denial increased recidivism for incest offenders but not for those with unrelated victims.
Conclusions:
- The findings indicate that the relationship between denial and sexual recidivism is complex and context-dependent.
- Risk assessment, particularly factors related to victim relationships, should consider denial as a potentially moderating variable.
- Further research and applied attention to denial in sexual offender risk assessment are warranted.
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