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ICU discharge APACHE II scores help to predict post-ICU death
Yung-Che Chen1, Meng-Chih Lin, Yu-Chin Lin
1Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital. 123, Dapi Rd., Niaosong Township, Kaohsiung County 833, Taiwan, ROC.
High post-intensive care unit (ICU) mortality persists. This study found that a higher Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score at ICU discharge and male gender independently predict increased post-ICU mortality.
Area of Science:
- Critical Care Medicine
- Health Outcomes Research
Background:
- Post-intensive care unit (ICU) mortality remains a significant challenge, with rates ranging from 8.6% to 23.6% over the last 15 years.
- Understanding factors influencing mortality after ICU discharge is crucial for improving patient outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the impact of illness severity at ICU discharge, as measured by the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score, on post-ICU mortality.
- To identify independent risk factors for death after patients leave the ICU.
Main Methods:
- A 6-month prospective observational study was conducted in a university-affiliated tertiary care hospital's medical ICU.
- Logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for post-ICU mortality.
Main Results:
- Of 203 patients discharged from the ICU, 39 (19.2%) died during hospitalization.
- Higher APACHE II scores at ICU discharge (OR 1.17) and male gender (OR 3.24) were independent predictors of post-ICU mortality.
- Patients with an APACHE II score of 17 or greater at discharge had a 37.3% mortality rate, compared to 9.4% for those with scores below 17.
Conclusions:
- Elevated APACHE II scores upon ICU discharge and male sex are significant risk factors for post-ICU mortality.
- Identifying patients with discharge APACHE II scores of 17 or higher can aid in predicting and potentially mitigating post-ICU deaths.
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