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Racial and survival paradoxes in chronic kidney disease
Kamyar Kalantar-Zadeh1, Csaba P Kovesdy, Stephen F Derose
1Harold Simmons Center for Kidney Disease Research and Epidemiology, Los Angeles Biomedical Research Institute at Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, CA 90502, USA. kamkal@ucla.edu
Insights
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) survival shows a "reverse epidemiology," where typical risk factors predict better outcomes. Understanding these paradoxes is key to improving CKD patient survival rates.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Public Health
Background:
- Most individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD) in the US do not survive to dialysis; mortality rates are high for those on dialysis.
- Conventional cardiovascular risk factors paradoxically correlate with better survival in hemodialysis patients, a phenomenon termed 'reverse epidemiology'.
Purpose of the Study:
- To explore the 'reverse epidemiology' phenomenon in earlier stages of CKD.
- To investigate paradoxical survival relationships concerning race and ethnicity in CKD patients.
- To understand how these paradoxes evolve with CKD progression and their potential reversal.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of existing data on CKD patient survival and risk factors.
- Examination of survival rates across different racial and ethnic groups.
- Correlation of survival paradoxes with CKD progression, malnutrition, inflammation, and wasting.
Main Results:
- Reverse epidemiology is observed not only in dialysis populations but also in earlier CKD stages.
- Distinct paradoxical survival patterns exist among African American, white, Hispanic, and Asian American CKD patients.
- Kidney transplantation can reverse these survival paradoxes, highlighting the role of kidney function and nutritional status.
Conclusions:
- CKD survival paradoxes are complex, influenced by disease progression, competing risks, and patient-specific factors like nutrition and inflammation.
- Rethinking risk factor targets based on general populations is necessary for effective CKD management.
- Further research into these paradoxes can lead to novel management strategies and improved survival for CKD patients.
Abstract:
Most of the 20 million people in the US with chronic kidney disease (CKD) die before commencing dialysis. One of every five dialysis patients dies each year in the US. Although cardiovascular disease is the most common cause of death among patients with CKD, conventional cardiovascular risk factors such as hypercholesterolemia, hypertension and obesity are paradoxically associated with better survival in hemodialysis populations. Emerging data indicate the existence of this 'reverse epidemiology' in earlier stages of CKD. There are also paradoxical relationships between outcomes and race and ethnicity. For example, the survival rate of African American dialysis patients seems to be superior to that of whites on dialysis. Paradoxes-within-paradoxes have been detected among Hispanic and Asian American CKD patients. These survival paradoxes might evolve and change over the natural course of CKD progression as a result of the time differentials of competing risk factors and the overwhelming impact of malnutrition, inflammation and wasting. Reversal of the reverse epidemiology as a result of successful kidney transplantation underscores the role of nutritional status and kidney function in engendering these paradoxes. The observation of paradoxes and their reversal might lead to the formulation of new paradigms and management strategies to improve the survival of patients with CKD. Such movement away from the use of targets set on the basis of data gathered in general populations (e.g. the Framingham cohort) would be a major paradigm shift in clinical medicine and public health.
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