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Randomization and the draft lottery.

J R Rosenblatt, J J Filliben

    Science (New York, N.Y.)
    |January 22, 1971
    PubMed
    Summary
    This summary is machine-generated.

    Fifty random permutations were created for the Selective Service System's two-stage randomization process before the 1970 draft lottery. This report details the specific permutations and the randomization sequence for dates and numbers used in the lottery.

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    Area of Science:

    • Statistics
    • Demographics
    • Public Health

    Background:

    • The Selective Service System (SSS) utilized a randomization method to determine draft eligibility.
    • A two-stage randomization process was implemented to ensure fairness in the 1970 draft lottery.
    • Understanding the randomization mechanics is crucial for historical and statistical analysis.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To document the specific random permutations employed by the SSS for the 1970 draft lottery.
    • To provide a detailed account of the sequence of date and number selections during the randomization process.
    • To analyze potential correlations within the randomization procedure.

    Main Methods:

    • Preparation of fifty unique random permutations for the SSS.
    • Recording the order of insertion and extraction of calendar dates and numbers from two separate drums.
    • Statistical analysis to determine correlations between the randomization elements.

    Main Results:

    • Identification of the fifty specific random permutations used in the 1970 draft lottery.
    • Detailed logs of the sequence in which dates and numbers were drawn.
    • Analysis revealed the specific correlations between the sequences of dates and numbers drawn.

    Conclusions:

    • The report provides a definitive record of the 1970 draft lottery randomization permutations.
    • The detailed sequence data allows for further statistical examination of the lottery's fairness.
    • This documentation serves as a critical resource for understanding historical conscription processes.