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Published on: November 27, 2019
Prognostic factors in paediatric acute liver failure
M Ciocca1, M Ramonet, M Cuarterolo
1Division of Gastroenterology, Children's Hospital Juan P Garrahan, Combate de los Pozos 1881 (CP 1245), Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires, Argentina. mciocca@intramed.net.ar
Insights
Hepatitis A is the primary cause of pediatric acute liver failure (ALF) in Argentina. Advanced encephalopathy and prolonged prothrombin time predict poor outcomes, but King's College criteria effectively assess prognosis in children.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Hepatology
- Infectious Diseases
- Critical Care Medicine
Background:
- Acute liver failure (ALF) in children presents a significant clinical challenge with varying etiologies and outcomes.
- Identifying reliable prognostic indicators is crucial for timely intervention and management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the causes, outcomes, and prognostic factors in pediatric patients diagnosed with acute liver failure.
- To evaluate the applicability of King's College criteria for predicting ALF outcomes in children.
Main Methods:
- A retrospective chart review was conducted on 210 pediatric patients (median age 5.33 years) with ALF.
- Patients were categorized into survival, death, or liver transplantation (LT) groups.
- King's College criteria were assessed for their predictive value.
Main Results:
- Hepatitis A was the leading cause of ALF (61%), followed by indeterminate causes (32%).
- Multivariate analysis identified prothrombin time and advanced encephalopathy (III/IV) as significant predictors of mortality.
- King's College criteria demonstrated high positive predictive values (95-96%) and negative predictive values (82%) for predicting outcomes, including the need for LT.
Conclusions:
- Hepatitis A is the predominant etiology of pediatric ALF in Argentina.
- Prognostic indicators such as advanced encephalopathy and prolonged prothrombin time are strongly associated with adverse outcomes or the need for liver transplantation.
- King's College criteria are validated for predicting ALF outcomes in pediatric populations, including cases attributed to hepatitis A.
Objectives:
To study the aetiology, outcome and prognostic indicators in children with acute liver failure (ALF).
Study Design:
Retrospective chart review of 210 patients (107 males/103 females; median age: 5.33 years, range: 1-17.4). Patients were followed until discharge (group 1), death (group 2) or liver transplantation (LT; group 3). Data from group 1 were compared to data from the other two groups and King's College criteria were also assessed.
Results:
Final diagnoses were: 128 (61%) hepatitis A, 68 (32%) indeterminate and 14 (7%) others. The characteristics of patients who survived (n = 59), died (n = 61) and underwent LT (n = 90) were analysed. In multivariate analysis, prothrombin time and encephalopathy III/IV were the most significant parameters suggesting a high likelihood of death. When King's College criteria were applied on admission in patients with and without transplantation, the positive predictive values were 96% and 95%, and the negative predictive values were 82% and 82%, respectively.
Conclusions:
Hepatitis A is the main cause of ALF in children in Argentina. Advanced encephalopathy and prolonged prothrombin time were significantly associated with death or need for LT. King's College criteria for predicting the outcome of ALF are applicable in children, including those with ALF due to hepatitis A infection.
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