Predicting short-term disability progression in early multiple sclerosis: added value of MRI parameters

A Minneboo1, B Jasperse, F Barkhof

  • 1MS Center of the VU University Medical Center, Department of Radiology, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands. a.minneboo@vumc.nl

Abstract

Insights

In early multiple sclerosis (MS), brain atrophy rate (percentage brain volume change per year) independently predicts disability progression. Adding MRI measures to clinical data improves prediction accuracy for MS disease worsening.

Area of Science:

  • Neuroimaging
  • Neurology
  • Clinical Research

Background:

  • Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic neurological disease.
  • Disease progression in MS is associated with both clinical and Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) parameters.
  • Predicting MS progression is crucial for effective management.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine if incorporating MRI parameters into clinical models enhances the prediction of MS disease progression.
  • To assess the added value of specific MRI metrics beyond clinical data.

Main Methods:

  • A cohort of 89 recently diagnosed MS patients underwent baseline and 2.2-year follow-up evaluations.
  • Clinical data included disease type and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS).
  • MRI parameters assessed were Normalised Brain Volume (NBV), percentage brain volume change (PBVC/year), lesion loads, and spinal cord abnormalities.

Main Results:

  • Patients with disability progression showed significantly higher PBVC/year and lesion loads at follow-up.
  • The inclusion of PBVC/year into a clinical model significantly improved predictive accuracy (p<0.001).
  • MRI parameters provided independent information regarding MS progression.

Conclusions:

  • The rate of cerebral atrophy (PBVC/year) is a valuable predictor of disability progression in early MS.
  • Neurodegenerative changes, as visualized by MRI, are key determinants of clinical disability in MS.
  • Integrating MRI metrics with clinical data offers a more comprehensive approach to monitoring MS progression.