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Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction-Based Detection and Quantification of Hepatitis B Virus DNA
Published on: December 15, 2023
Incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma among individuals with hepatitis B virus infection identified using an
M Ulcickas Yood1, C P Quesenberry, D Guo
1Josephine Ford Cancer Center, Henry Ford Health System, Detroit, MI, USA. muyood@muyood.com
Insights
An algorithm was developed to identify patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection using automated health data. This algorithm accurately predicts a significantly higher risk of developing liver cancer (hepatocellular carcinoma) in HBV patients.
Area of Science:
- Hepatology
- Medical Informatics
- Oncology
Background:
- Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a major risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).
- Accurate identification of patients with chronic HBV is crucial for timely management and surveillance.
- Automated data sources offer potential for large-scale patient identification but require robust algorithms.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and evaluate an algorithm for identifying patients with chronic HBV infection using automated data from US health systems.
- To quantify the incidence of HCC among patients identified with chronic HBV using the developed algorithm.
- To compare HCC incidence across different definitions of chronic HBV infection.
Main Methods:
- Developed an algorithm using automated data from two US health systems to identify chronic HBV patients.
- Created three overlapping cohorts based on varying definitions of chronic HBV infection.
- Compared HCC incidence in chronic HBV cohorts against a matched general population cohort without HBV.
Main Results:
- Patients meeting stringent chronic HBV criteria (6+ months infection) had a 146-fold increased HCC risk (aHR=146.5).
- Patients with at least one positive hepatitis B surface antigen test showed a 30-fold increased HCC risk (aHR=29.8).
- Patients with at least one HBV diagnosis had a 38-fold increased HCC risk (aHR=37.8).
Conclusions:
- Automated data algorithms can effectively identify patients with chronic HBV infection.
- Different criteria for defining chronic HBV yield varying but significant increases in HCC risk.
- The developed algorithm demonstrates the utility of automated data for identifying high-risk populations for HCC surveillance.
Abstract:
The purpose of this study was to develop an algorithm for identifying patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) using automated data sources from two US health systems and evaluate the algorithm's performance by quantifying the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among chronic HBV patients. To allow comparisons with estimates from automated databases that may not contain all data elements used in this algorithm, we created three definitions of chronic HBV infection and used these definitions to create three overlapping cohorts. We compared the incidence of HCC in each cohort with the incidence of HCC in a matched general population comparison cohort with no evidence of HBV. Patients who met the most stringent criteria for chronic HBV infection (based on the standard definition of 6 months of infection using repeat laboratory tests and record review) were 146 times more likely to develop HCC than matched comparison patients (adjusted hazard ratio = 146.5, 95% CI: 74.0-289.8). Those not meeting the stringent criteria, but who met the criterion of at least one positive hepatitis B surface antigen test were 30 times more likely to develop HCC than comparison patients (adjusted hazard ratio = 29.8, 95% CI: 16.5-53.6). Finally, patients who met the criterion based on at least one HBV diagnosis were 38 times more likely to develop HCC than matched comparison patients (adjusted hazard ratio = 37.8, 95% CI: 25.9-55.1). The magnitude of the relative increase in HCC risk seen using different criteria used to define HBV infection indicate that these automated data algorithms can identify patients with chronic HBV infection.
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