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Related Experiment Videos

Predicting job loss in those off sick.

Jane Wilford¹, Alex D McMahon, Jean Peters

¹Division of Community Based Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, Public Health and Health Policy Section, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.

Occupational Medicine (Oxford, England)

|January 25, 2008

Summary

A new screening tool identifies individuals at high risk of long-term job loss after extended sick leave. This tool aids in early intervention for incapacity benefit claimants to improve return-to-work outcomes.

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Area of Science:

Occupational Health
Health Services Research
Social Medicine

Background:

Incapacity benefit claimants, defined as individuals off sick for over 26 weeks, face the highest risk of prolonged job loss.
Understanding predictors of return to work is crucial for effective employment support interventions.

Purpose of the Study:

To develop and validate a screening tool for identifying individuals at high risk of job loss.
The tool is intended for use within employment support programs, such as the Job Retention and Rehabilitation Pilot.

Main Methods:

A comprehensive literature review identified multifactorial risks associated with long-term incapacity and job loss.
Potential return-to-work predictors were compiled into a questionnaire and validated through prospective and retrospective studies.
Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were employed to assess predictive power.

Main Results:

The screening tool, comprising five key questions, demonstrated strong predictive capability with a C-index of 0.90.
Predictive factors include self-assessed ability to return to work, capacity for current job in six months, recent sick leave history, age, and awaiting medical consultation or treatment.
The tool effectively identifies individuals at elevated risk of not returning to work.

Conclusions:

A validated screening tool has been successfully developed to identify individuals most vulnerable to job loss.
This tool can facilitate targeted interventions to support return to work for those on long-term sick leave.