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The impact of comorbidity burden on the cardiovascular risk in the Peripheral Arteriopathy and Cardiovascular Events
G Brevetti1, G Giugliano, G Oliva
1Department of Clinical Medicine and Cardiovascular and Immunological Sciences, University of Naples 'Federico II', Naples, Italy. brevetti@unina.it
Insights
Evaluating overall comorbidity using the Cumulative Illness Rating Scale (CIRS) is crucial for predicting cardiovascular events like myocardial infarction and stroke in peripheral arterial disease (PAD) patients.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Vascular Medicine
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Comorbidity significantly impacts chronic disease outcomes due to competing risks.
- Accurate comorbidity assessment is vital for predicting patient prognosis.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the prognostic value of the Cumulative Illness Rating Scale (CIRS) for cardiovascular risk in the Peripheral Arteriopathy and Cardiovascular Events (PACE) study.
- To assess the association between CIRS scores and cardiovascular events in patients with and without peripheral arterial disease (PAD).
Main Methods:
- Prospective study design.
- Inclusion of 60 peripheral arterial disease (PAD) patients and 163 non-PAD subjects.
- Calculation of Cumulative Illness Rating Scale-illness severity (CIRS-IS) and CIRS-comorbidity index (CIRS-CI) scores.
Main Results:
- Higher CIRS-IS and CIRS-CI scores were associated with increased risk of myocardial infarction or stroke in the overall cohort.
- This association disappeared when 'concordant' conditions were excluded, except in PAD patients.
- In PAD patients, CIRS-IS and CIRS-CI scores, excluding 'concordant' conditions, significantly predicted cardiovascular risk (RR=4.03 and RR=1.43, respectively).
- CIRS scores enhanced the predictive value of the ankle-brachial index in PAD patients.
Conclusions:
- Overall comorbidity, not solely cardiovascular comorbidity, is essential for predicting myocardial infarction and stroke in PAD.
- The CIRS tool, particularly when excluding 'concordant' conditions, offers valuable prognostic information for PAD patients.
- These findings underscore the importance of comprehensive comorbidity assessment in vascular disease management.
Background:
A comprehensive evaluation of comorbidity is important in predicting outcome of patients affected by a chronic disease because of the role of competing risk.
Aim:
To assess the prognostic impact of the Cumulative Illness Rating Scale (CIRS) on the cardiovascular risk of subjects participating in the Peripheral Arteriopathy and Cardiovascular Events (PACE) study.
Design:
Prospective study.
Methods:
The study included 60 patients with peripheral arterial disease (PAD) and 163 no-PAD subjects. CIRS-illness severity (IS) score and CIRS-comorbidity index (CI) were calculated.
Results:
After a 42-month follow-up, 18/223 participants had a myocardial infarction or stroke. These subjects had a higher CIRS-IS score (1.99 +/- 0.52 vs. 1.71 +/- 0.37, P = 0.003) and a higher CIRS-CI (4.00 +/- 2.81 vs. 2.65 +/- 1.85, P = 0.005) vs. the 205 subjects without event. However, the significant association of CIRS scores with the outcome disappeared when conditions considered to be 'concordant' with the endpoint were excluded from the calculation of the scores. Importantly, among the 163 no-PAD subjects CIRS scores did not differ between those with and without an event. Conversely, in the 60 PAD patients, the CIRS-IS score calculated excluding the 'concordant' conditions was associated with an increased cardiovascular risk (RR = 4.03, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.05-15.37, P = 0.042) after adjustment for potential confounders. The corresponding RR for the CIRS-CI was 1.43 (95% CI 1.03-1.98, P = 0.032). Furthermore, both CIRS scores improved the predictive value of ankle/brachial index, which is the most powerful prognostic indicator in PAD.
Conclusion:
Our findings indicate that overall comorbidity, and not only cardiovascular comorbidity, must be considered for prediction of myocardial infarction and stroke in PAD.
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