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A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
[Epidemiology and clinical evolutionary aspects of multiple sclerosis in Navarra]
E Antón Aranda1, J M Martínez-Lage, E Maraví Petri
1Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital de Zumárraga, Guipúzcoa.
Abstract:
In the present study 84 patients with the diagnosis of multiple sclerosis were identified as living in Navarra on the date of prevalence (December 31, 1986). The raw yearly incidence rate was 0.49/100000, which is similar to that in Mediterranean countries. A significant increase of this rate was found between 1951 and 1986, which was interpreted as a consequence of higher economic status and/or progressive industrialization. The raw prevalence rate was 16.4/100000 and age-specific prevalence was 26.5. Therefore, Navarra is a medium risk area for MS. Mean age at onset was 29.3 years, with a significant female predominance. In addition, MS presented earlier in females. The relationship between MS and latitude of the residence area was confirmed. The most common presenting symptoms were motor (paresia) and sensory (paresthesia). Cerebrospinal fluid was abnormal in 86.5% of patients, evoked potentials (mostly visual) in 85.9%, and magnetic resonance in 100%. Demyelinizing signs were detected with CT in 29.4% of patients. The diagnostic criteria of the Boston University Workshop were highly reliable. The most common evolutive pattern was the pure remitting one. The mean degree of disability was 3.6 in Kurtzke's scale. The evolutive form and the duration of the disease were identified as predictive of disability. 43.5% of benign forms and 13.1% of late onset forms were identified.
Insights
Multiple sclerosis (MS) incidence in Navarra increased significantly from 1951-1986, linked to socioeconomic factors. Navarra is a medium-risk area for MS, with earlier onset in females.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Context:
- Multiple Sclerosis (MS) prevalence and incidence studies are crucial for understanding disease distribution and risk factors.
- Previous research suggests geographical variations in MS, potentially linked to environmental and socioeconomic factors.
- Navarra, a region in Spain, has not been extensively studied for MS epidemiology.
Purpose:
- To determine the incidence and prevalence of Multiple Sclerosis (MS) in Navarra, Spain.
- To analyze demographic, clinical, and diagnostic features of MS patients in the region.
- To investigate potential correlations between MS and factors like latitude, socioeconomic status, and industrialization.
Summary:
- A study identified 84 MS patients in Navarra in 1986, revealing a raw prevalence of 16.4/100,000.
- Yearly incidence increased significantly between 1951 and 1986, correlating with economic status and industrialization.
- Key findings include a mean age of onset of 29.3 years, female predominance, earlier onset in females, and a confirmed latitude-MS relationship.
Impact:
- Navarra is classified as a medium-risk area for MS.
- The study highlights the reliability of diagnostic criteria and identifies predictors of disability, such as disease course and duration.
- Findings contribute to understanding MS epidemiology in Mediterranean regions and inform public health strategies.
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