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Predictors of tuberculosis in acute aseptic meningitis syndrome
Raluca Mihăilescu1, Adriana Hristea, C Băicuş
1"Prof. Dr. Matei Balş" National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Bucharest, Romania. ralsan@gmail.com
Abstract:
Tuberculous meningitis (TBM) is a medical emergency. Early and accurate diagnosis is crucial for preventing morbidity and mortality. Our aim was to define the predictors of tuberculous rather than other causes of acute aseptic meningitis syndrome (AAMS). A retrospective study of 225 patients with AAMS admitted in a tertiary care infectious diseases center between 2001 and 2004 was performed. In order to assess the value of clinical and biological variables for the diagnosis of TBM, we compared the variables between two groups of patients, one with microbiologically documented TBM and one with certain non-TBM acute lymphocytic meningitis. The assessed variables had good specificities, but relatively low sensitivities, ruling in the diagnosis of TBM rather than ruling it out. The most reliable predictors in multivariate analysis were: duration of symptoms before admission > 7 days, altered clinical stage, CSF/blood glucose ratio < 0.5 and CSF protein concentration > 200mg/ml. Based on the multivariate model which retained four variables, the probability of TBM in a certain patient could have been increased from 17% to 99.9% when all variables were present, or decreased to 0% when all variables were absent. This study suggests that simple clinical and laboratory features are useful in diagnosing TBM in a high-prevalence region.
Insights
Predicting tuberculous meningitis (TBM) is vital for patient outcomes. Key indicators like symptom duration, clinical stage, and CSF glucose/protein levels can help diagnose TBM effectively in high-prevalence areas.
Area of Science:
- Infectious Diseases
- Neurology
- Clinical Diagnostics
Background:
- Tuberculous meningitis (TBM) is a critical medical emergency requiring prompt diagnosis.
- Early and accurate diagnosis of TBM is essential to reduce patient morbidity and mortality.
- Distinguishing TBM from other causes of acute aseptic meningitis syndrome (AAMS) presents a diagnostic challenge.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify clinical and biological predictors for diagnosing TBM versus other causes of AAMS.
- To assess the diagnostic value of specific variables in differentiating TBM.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective study of 225 patients with AAMS admitted to a tertiary care infectious diseases center (2001-2004).
- Comparison of clinical and biological variables between microbiologically confirmed TBM and non-TBM acute lymphocytic meningitis groups.
- Multivariate analysis to determine the most reliable diagnostic predictors.
Main Results:
- Several clinical and laboratory variables demonstrated good specificity but limited sensitivity for TBM diagnosis.
- Key predictors identified in multivariate analysis included: symptom duration > 7 days, altered clinical stage, CSF/blood glucose ratio < 0.5, and CSF protein > 200mg/ml.
- A model incorporating these four variables could significantly adjust the probability of TBM, from 17% to 99.9% or down to 0%.
Conclusions:
- Simple clinical and laboratory features are valuable tools for diagnosing TBM in regions with high prevalence.
- The identified predictors can aid clinicians in increasing or decreasing the likelihood of TBM in suspected cases.
- This approach supports timely and accurate TBM diagnosis, potentially improving patient management and outcomes.
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