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Sensitivity of paediatric AIDS score vs. WHO case classification in Indian children--a retrospective study
Tanushree Banerjee1, Tripti Pensi, Dipankar Banerjee
1Department of Statistics, University of Delhi, New Delhi-110007, India. banerjee_tanushree@rediffmail.com
Insights
This study evaluated the World Health Organization (WHO) clinical case definition for diagnosing pediatric Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in resource-limited settings. A revised definition showed improved sensitivity and positive predictive value for identifying pediatric AIDS cases.
Area of Science:
- Pediatrics
- Infectious Diseases
- Clinical Epidemiology
Background:
- Limited diagnostic resources in many regions necessitate reliable clinical case definitions for Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS).
- The existing World Health Organization (WHO) clinical case definition (CCD) for pediatric AIDS requires validation in diverse settings.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the statistical significance and diagnostic accuracy of the WHO CCD for pediatric AIDS.
- To propose an improved clinical case definition for pediatric AIDS in resource-limited areas.
Main Methods:
- A study group of 360 children (18 months to 12 years) meeting WHO AIDS case definitions was analyzed.
- Sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value (PPV) of different clinical sign combinations were calculated.
- Stepwise logistic analysis identified key predictors for pediatric AIDS.
Main Results:
- HIV incidence was 16.66% in children attending the pediatric outpatient clinic.
- A combination of three major and two minor signs yielded a sensitivity of 73.33% and specificity of 90.66%.
- A proposed CCD based on 13 clinical signs/symptoms demonstrated higher sensitivity (86.66%) and PPV (88.66%) compared to the WHO definition, with similar specificity.
Conclusions:
- The WHO CCD has limitations in diagnosing pediatric AIDS, particularly in resource-limited settings.
- A revised clinical case definition incorporating specific clinical signs and symptoms offers improved diagnostic accuracy for pediatric AIDS.
- Key predictors like weight loss, chronic fever, and low lymphocyte count are crucial for identifying pediatric AIDS.
Abstract:
This study was conducted at the Department of Paediatrics, Dr Ram Manohar Lohia Hospital, to test the statistical significance of existing World Health Organization (WHO) clinical case definition (CCD) for diagnosis of AIDS in areas where diagnostic resources are limited. A total of 360 cases between 18 months and 12 years of age satisfying WHO case definitions of AIDS were included in study group. Our study detected 16.66% (60) of HIV incidence in children visiting the paediatrics outpatient clinic. Twenty percent of cases manifested three major and two minor signs, which had sensitivity of 73.33%; specificity, 90.66% and positive predictive value (PPV), 61.11%. Stepwise logistic analysis identified weight loss, chronic fever >1 month and total lymphocyte count <1500 cells mm(-3) as important predictors. Eighty-six cases (23.89%) showed two major and two minor signs with sensitivity and specificity of 86.66 and 88.66%, respectively. Thus a CCD based on 13 clinical signs/symptoms was proposed for paediatric AIDS with better sensitivity and PPV than the WHO case definition but with almost similar specificity.
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