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Predator harvesting in stage dependent predation models: insights from a threshold management policy
Michel Iskin da Silveira Costa1
1Laboratório Nacional de Computação Científica, Av. Getúlio Vargas 333, Quitandinha, Petrópolis-RJ 25651-070, Brazil. michel@lncc.br
Raising predator mortality can paradoxically increase predator populations, known as the hydra effect. A threshold management policy can prevent this ecological collapse and predator extinction.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Population Dynamics
- Conservation Biology
Background:
- Stage-dependent predation can lead to the hydra effect, where increased predator mortality paradoxically increases predator density at equilibrium.
- Current management strategies, adjusting harvest rates based on past population responses, risk catastrophic collapse of predator species.
Purpose of the Study:
- To introduce and evaluate a threshold management policy as a strategy to avoid the hydra effect.
- To explore the potential applications of threshold policies in other ecological contexts.
Main Methods:
- The study theoretically investigates the dynamics of stage-dependent predation and its implications for population management.
- It proposes a threshold management policy and contrasts its outcomes with conventional approaches.
Main Results:
- Conventional management strategies adjusting harvest rates can inadvertently trigger the hydra effect, leading to population collapse.
- The proposed threshold management policy effectively prevents the hydra effect, safeguarding predator populations from extinction.
Conclusions:
- Threshold management policies offer a robust alternative to conventional methods for preventing the hydra effect and ensuring predator species survival.
- Threshold policies show promise for application in areas including intermediate disturbance, density-trait mediated interactions, and anti-predatory behavior.
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