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Dilution as a model of long-term forgetting
1School of Psychology, Leicester University, Leicester, England. ml195@le.ac.uk
Abstract:
This article presents a model of long term forgetting based on 3 ideas: (a) Memory for a stimulus can be described by a population of accessible traces; (b) probability of retrieval after a delay is predicted by the proportion of traces in this population that will be defined as correct if sampled; and (c) this population is diluted over time by null traces that, if accessed, block retrieval. Dilution is modeled as a linear function of time and outcome of accessing memories by their temporal organization. The model is applied to 5 published experiments studying forgetting in cued recall, 4 recognition experiments, and 1 using savings methods. The model specifies the different form of the retention function in each case well and provides a principled explanation for some puzzling characteristics of forgetting without recourse to mechanisms such as decay or consolidation.
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