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Published on: September 20, 2019
Monitoring for lack of benefit: a critical component of a randomized clinical trial
Boris Freidlin1, Edward L Korn
1Biometric Research Branch, Division of Cancer Treatment and Diagnosis, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA. freidlinb@ctep.nci.nih.gov
Abstract:
To balance patient interests against the need for acquiring evidence, ongoing randomized clinical trials are formally monitored for early convincing indication of benefit or lack of benefit. In lethal diseases like cancer, where new therapies are often toxic and may have limited preliminary efficacy data, monitoring for lack of benefit is particularly important. We review the complex nature of stopping a randomized trial for lack of benefit and argue that many cancer trials could be improved by a more aggressive approach to monitoring. On the other hand, we caution that some commonly used monitoring guidelines may result in stopping for lack of benefit even when a nontrivial beneficial effect is observed.
Insights
Monitoring randomized clinical trials for lack of benefit is crucial, especially in lethal diseases like cancer. A more aggressive monitoring approach could improve many cancer trials, but caution is needed to avoid stopping trials prematurely.
Area of Science:
- Clinical Trials
- Oncology
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) require formal monitoring for early indications of benefit or lack thereof.
- Monitoring is particularly critical in lethal diseases like cancer due to toxic therapies and limited efficacy data.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review the complexities of stopping RCTs for lack of benefit.
- To advocate for a more aggressive monitoring strategy in cancer trials.
- To highlight potential issues with current monitoring guidelines.
Main Methods:
- Review of existing literature and methodologies for clinical trial monitoring.
- Analysis of the decision-making process for trial cessation due to futility.
- Discussion of statistical considerations in interim analyses.
Main Results:
- Many cancer trials could benefit from enhanced monitoring for lack of efficacy.
- Current monitoring guidelines may lead to premature trial closure, potentially missing moderate treatment effects.
Conclusions:
- A more proactive approach to monitoring for lack of benefit in cancer trials is recommended.
- Careful consideration of monitoring guidelines is necessary to balance patient safety with the need for robust evidence.
- Further research into optimal trial monitoring strategies is warranted.
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