Breast cancer risk in postmenopausal women using estradiol-progestogen therapy

To estimate the risk for breast cancer in Finnish women using postmenopausal estradiol (E2)-progestogen therapy.

All Finnish women over 50 years using E2-progestogen therapy for at least 6 months in 1994-2005 (N=221,551) were identified from the national medical reimbursement register and followed up for breast cancer incidence (n=6,211 cases) through the Finnish Cancer Registry to the end of 2005. The risk for breast cancer in E2-progestogen therapy users was compared with that in the general population.

The standardized incidence ratio for all types of breast cancer was not elevated within the first 3 years of use, but it rose to 1.31 (95% confidence interval 1.20-1.42) for the use from 3-5 years and to 2.07 (1.84-2.30) with 10 or more years of use. Exposure to sequential progestogen for 5 years or more was accompanied with a lower risk elevation (1.78, 1.64-1.90) than exposure to continuous use (2.44, 2.17-2.72). Oral and transdermal use of E2-progestogen therapy was associated with comparable risk elevations for breast cancer. The use of norethisterone acetate was accompanied with a higher risk after 5 years of use (2.03, 1.88-2.18) than that of medroxyprogesterone acetate (1.64, 1.49-1.79). The risk of lobular breast cancer increased sooner than that for ductal cancer and was detectable for E2-progestogen therapy use less than 3 years (1.35, 1.18-1.53). There was no excess risk of breast cancer with distant metastases among E2-progestogen therapy users.

The use of E2-progestogen therapy is associated with an increased risk for breast cancer after 3 years of use. The risk is lower for sequential than for continuous use, but comparable for oral and transdermal use. The risk elevation may not be uniform for all progestogens.

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