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Cancer-associated hypercalcemia: validation of a bedside prognostic score
Nicolas Penel1, Sylvain Dewas, Aurélien Hoffman
1Département de Cancérologie Générale, Centre Oscar Lambret, 3, Rue F Combemale, 5902 Lille, France. n-penel@o-lambret.fr
Introduction:
Until now, there was no validated and reliable tool to estimate life expectancy among patients with cancer-associated hypercalcemia (CAH). This study aimed to validate a prognostic score previously published.
Methods:
We studied a new cohort of 252 patients with CAH. Our prognostic score based on the four poor-prognosis factors (liver metastasis, squamous cell carcinoma, hypoalbuminemia, and calcemia >2.83 mmol) was implemented to this cohort. The accuracy of this score for the prediction of 90-day mortality was estimated with area under the curve of the receiver operator curve (AUC-ROC).
Results:
Among this validation cohort, patients with score = 0 experienced a median overall survival of 797 days; whereas, patients with score >/=1 (at least one poor-prognosis factor) had median overall survival of 49 days (p < 0.0001). The AUC-ROC for the prediction of 90-day mortality were 0.88 (0.76-0.86) and 0.67 (0.61-0.74) in the development cohort and in the validation cohort, respectively.
Conclusion:
We have validated a reliable bedside prognostic score for CAH.
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