Estimating the effectiveness of perinatal care technologies by expert opinion

The majority of technologies in use in perinatal care were organized into 45 technological functions. Forty-six experts from 19 different regions of Brazil and other Latin American countries then selected a "basic package" (BP) of 15 technological functions. Considering the 12 main causes of perinatal mortality in Brazil, the experts estimated the number of preventable deaths, assuming universal coverage by the BP and the additional reductions that could be obtained by gradually adding other technological functions to the BP. A simulation was performed for the 26 states of Brazil to identify regional priorities for the diffusion of technological functions. For most regions, the BP appears to be the most effective intervention, with the potential of reducing perinatal mortality by 33%, followed by "coordination of services and referral of pregnant women" (14%), and "treatment of respiratory conditions" (11.8%).