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Updated: Jun 23, 2026

Myocardial Infarction and Functional Outcome Assessment in Pigs
Published on: April 25, 2014
Renal and cardiac function for long-term (10 year) risk stratification after myocardial infarction
Suetonia C Palmer1, Timothy G Yandle, Christopher M Frampton
1Department of Medicine, University of Otago Christchurch, 2 Riccarton Avenue, Christchurch 8140, New Zealand.
Insights
Combined renal and cardiac function significantly predicts long-term outcomes after myocardial infarction (MI). Impaired kidney function (eGFR) with elevated NT-proBNP or reduced LVEF indicates higher mortality and heart failure risk.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Nephrology
- Biomarkers
Background:
- Acute myocardial infarction (MI) poses significant risks for long-term mortality and heart failure (HF).
- Assessing combined renal and cardiac function post-MI is crucial for risk stratification.
- Early identification of high-risk patients can guide therapeutic interventions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the predictive value of combined renal and cardiac function for 10-year mortality and HF after MI.
- To evaluate the independent and combined prognostic power of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), NT-proBNP, and LVEF.
Main Methods:
- Prospective study of 1063 patients with MI within 24-96 hours of symptom onset.
- Measurements included eGFR, plasma NT-proBNP, and radionuclide ventriculography (LVEF).
- Mortality and HF events were tracked over a mean follow-up of 9.3 years.
Main Results:
- eGFR, NT-proBNP, and LVEF independently predicted 10-year mortality.
- Reduced eGFR with elevated NT-proBNP showed a 60% vs. 14% mortality rate (P < 0.001).
- Combined eGFR and NT-proBNP predicted HF with rates of 34% vs. 7% (P < 0.001).
Conclusions:
- Combined assessment of renal function (eGFR) and cardiac biomarkers (NT-proBNP or LVEF) effectively stratifies risk post-MI.
- Patients with lower eGFR and elevated NT-proBNP or depressed LVEF face a 5-10 fold increased risk of mortality and HF.
- This combined approach offers valuable insights for managing patients after acute myocardial infarction.
Abstract:
Aims To determine whether combined renal and cardiac function after acute myocardial infarction (MI) predicts 10 year mortality and heart failure (HF). Methods and results Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), plasma amino terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and radionuclide ventriculography were obtained in 1063 patients with MI between 24-96 h of symptom onset. Mortality and HF were documented over follow-up of 9.3 years. Estimated GFR, NT-proBNP, and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) each independently predicted 10 year mortality. Reduced eGFR (below 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2)) combined with increased NT-proBNP (above 1000 pg/mL) was associated with higher mortality rate compared with preserved eGFR together with lower NT-proBNP (60 vs. 14%, P < 0.001). Similar results for mortality were identified for eGFR combined with LVEF (dichotomized about 50%) (58 vs. 17%, P < 0.001). Corresponding analysis combining eGFR and NT-proBNP to predict HF yielded rates of 34 and 7% for high- and low-risk groups, respectively (P < 0.001). Similar risk stratification for HF was observed when combining eGFR with LVEF (35 vs. 7%, P < 0.001). Conclusion Ten year rates of mortality and HF are 5-10 times higher when lower eGFR is present together with increased NT-proBNP or depressed LVEF.
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