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Risk factors for fatality in patients with Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever
Nuriye Tasdelen Fisgin1, Esra Tanyel, Levent Doganci
1Ondokuz Mayis Universitesi, Tip Fakültesi, Enfeksiyon Hastaliklari AD, Kurupelit, 55139, Samsun, Turkey.
Insights
Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever (CCHF) is a deadly viral illness. Key indicators of poor prognosis include advanced age, low platelet counts, elevated liver enzymes, and prolonged clotting times.
Area of Science:
- Virology
- Infectious Diseases
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever (CCHF) is a severe, potentially fatal viral disease.
- Understanding prognostic factors is crucial for managing CCHF patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify prognostic factors influencing survival in CCHF patients.
- To determine risk factors associated with fatality in CCHF cases.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective study of CCHF patients (2004-2007) at a tertiary referral center.
- Patients categorized into survival (n=44) and fatality (n=6) groups.
- Analysis of clinical data, laboratory results (platelet count, liver enzymes, LDH, CPK, PT, aPTT), and age.
Main Results:
- Fatal cases showed significantly lower platelet counts (11,000/mm³ vs. 49,500/mm³).
- Elevated AST, ALT, CPK, and LDH levels were observed in the fatal group.
- Prolonged prothrombin time (PT) and activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) were noted in fatal cases.
- Advanced age and late admission were also associated with increased fatality.
Conclusions:
- Advanced age, late admission, low platelet count, elevated liver enzymes (AST, ALT), increased CPK and LDH, and prolonged PT/aPTT are indicators of poor prognosis in CCHF.
- These factors can aid in early risk stratification and management of CCHF patients.
- Further research may refine prognostic models for CCHF.
Abstract:
Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever (CCHF) is a potentially fatal viral disease. In this study, the aim was to investigate the prognostic factors affecting the patient's survival and risk factors to fatality. At Ondokuz Mayis University Faculty of Medicine, a tertiary referral centre near the CCHF epidemic region, patients with typical clinical findings and indicative microbiological results for IgM and/or reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction of CCHF virus were enrolled in the study, from 2004 to 2007. Patients were divided into two subgroups according to their survival outcomes; group I (n = 44) survived patients and group II (n = 6) consisted of fatal cases. The median platelet count was significantly lower in the fatal group (11000/mm(3)) when compared to the survived group (49500/mm(3)). Aspartate transferase and alanine transferase (ALT) levels were significantly higher in group II, when compared to group I. Also, the median range of serum lactic dehydrogenase (LDH) and creatinine phosphokinase (CPK) levels were much more elevated, and prothrombin time (PT) and activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) were prolonged in fatal cases. There was also a significant difference in median age of these two groups. Advanced age, late admission, low platelet count, increased AST, ALT, CPK and LDH levels, and prolonged PT and aPTT could be an early indicator of poor prognosis in patients with CCHF.
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