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Updated: Jun 22, 2026

Using Retinal Imaging to Study Dementia
Published on: November 6, 2017
Change in blood pressure and incident dementia: a 32-year prospective study
Robert Stewart1, Qian-Li Xue, Kamal Masaki
1Section of Epidemiology (Box 60), Institute of Psychiatry, De Crespigny Park, London SE5 8AF, United Kingdom. r.stewart@iop.kcl.ac.uk
Insights
Men who developed dementia showed a significant increase and subsequent decrease in systolic blood pressure (BP) over 32 years. Antihypertensive medication modified these long-term BP trends in relation to dementia risk.
Area of Science:
- Gerontology
- Cardiovascular Health
- Neurology
Background:
- Inconsistent findings exist regarding the association between high blood pressure (BP) and dementia.
- Understanding long-term BP trajectories in relation to dementia development is crucial.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between long-term systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) trajectories and incident dementia.
- To explore how antihypertensive medication influences these associations.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 1890 Japanese American men from the Honolulu Heart Program/Honolulu-Asia Aging Study over an average of 32 years.
- Systolic and diastolic BP measured at 6 examinations; dementia assessed at the final 3 examinations.
- Repeated-measures analysis with splines to estimate BP trajectories and their association with incident dementia.
Main Results:
- Men who developed dementia exhibited an additional age-adjusted annual SBP increase of 0.26 mm Hg and a later decline of 1.36 mm Hg compared to those without dementia.
- These SBP trends were most pronounced for vascular dementia and were reduced by antihypertensive medication.
- Similar DBP changes were observed for vascular dementia, unaffected by antihypertensive treatment.
Conclusions:
- Long-term systolic blood pressure shows distinct patterns in individuals who develop dementia, characterized by an initial rise followed by a subsequent fall.
- Antihypertensive therapy appears to modify the relationship between systolic BP trajectories and dementia risk.
- The findings highlight the complex interplay between blood pressure management and dementia prevention over the lifespan.
Abstract:
Studies of the association of high blood pressure (BP) with dementia are not consistent. Understanding long-term trajectories in blood pressure of those who do and do not develop dementia can help clarify the issue. The Honolulu Heart Program/Honolulu-Asia Aging Study followed a cohort of Japanese American men for an average of 32 years, with systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) measured at 6 examinations and dementia assessed at the final 3. In an analysis of 1890 men who completed all 6 of the exams, 112 diagnosed with incident dementia at examination 6 were compared with the 1778 survivors without dementia. Trajectories in SBP and DBP up to and including the sixth examination were estimated with a repeated-measures analysis using 3 splines. From midlife to late life, men who went on to develop dementia had an additional age-adjusted increase in SBP of 0.26 mm Hg (95% CI: 0.01 to 0.51 mm Hg) per year compared with survivors without dementia. Over the late-life examinations, this group had an additional age-adjusted decline in SBP of 1.36 mm Hg (95% CI: 0.64 to 2.07 mm Hg) per year. These associations were strongest for vascular dementia and were reduced substantially in men who were previously taking antihypertensive medication. Similar changes in diastolic BP were observed, but only for vascular dementia, and the findings were not modified by antihypertensive treatment. Over a 32-year period, compared with men who did not, those who did develop dementia had a greater increase, followed by a greater decrease, in SBP. Both of these trends are modified by antihypertensive therapy.
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