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Archetypes of famine and response
1United Nations World Food Programme, Uganda Country Office, Kampala, Uganda. Paul.Howe@wfp.org
Disasters
|July 24, 2009
Summary
This study applies systems thinking to understand the dynamic, often overlooked, aspects of famines, such as price spirals and media frenzies. Recognizing these patterns can lead to more effective famine response strategies.
Area of Science:
- Systems science
- Humanitarian studies
- Disaster management
Background:
- Famines exhibit rapid, shifting dynamics including price spirals, mortality spikes, media attention, and aid flows.
- Recent focus on the 'famine process' has overlooked these critical, dynamic aspects.
Purpose of the Study:
- To make the dynamic aspects of famines more explicit by applying systems thinking.
- To analyze patterns in famine situations and identify appropriate responses.
Main Methods:
- Application of standard systems thinking archetypes.
- Analysis of six common famine situations: watch, price spiral, aid magnet, media frenzy, overshoot, and peaks.
- Illustration with case examples from Ethiopia, Malawi, Niger, and Sudan.
Main Results:
- Systems thinking archetypes effectively explain dynamic famine situations.
- Identified patterns like 'price spiral' and 'aid magnet' are prevalent across different famine contexts.
- The approach provides a framework for understanding complex famine dynamics.
Conclusions:
- The systems approach offers a valuable tool for analyzing large-scale famine patterns.
- Awareness of crisis dynamics is crucial for pinpointing the most effective famine response strategies.
- This methodology enhances understanding and intervention in complex humanitarian crises.
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