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Updated: Jun 21, 2026

Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
12:44

Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework

Published on: July 24, 2016

The need for environmental horizon scanning.

William J Sutherland1, Harry J Woodroof

  • 1Conservation Science Group, Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Downing Street, Cambridge, CB2 3EJ, UK. w.sutherland@zoo.cam.ac.uk

Trends in Ecology & Evolution
|August 8, 2009
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Routine horizon scanning, a systematic search for poorly recognized threats and opportunities, is an underused tool in environmental and conservation practice. Incorporating this proactive approach ensures timely policy and research, improving decision-making with better evidence.

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Last Updated: Jun 21, 2026

Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
12:44

Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework

Published on: July 24, 2016

Area of Science:

  • Environmental science
  • Conservation biology
  • Ecology

Background:

  • Decisions in environmental and conservation fields often lack sufficient evidence due to unforeseen issues.
  • Many unexpected problems are foreseeable with hindsight, indicating a gap in preparedness.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To advocate for routine horizon scanning as a standard practice in environmental and conservation fields.
  • To highlight the underutilization of horizon scanning for identifying emerging threats and opportunities.
  • To provide recommendations for integrating horizon scanning into research, policy, and practice.

Main Methods:

  • Systematic search for currently poorly recognized potential threats and opportunities.
  • Outlining various horizon-scanning methodologies.
  • Analyzing the current weaknesses in identifying forthcoming environmental and conservation issues.

Main Results:

  • Horizon scanning enables researchers to prioritize study areas and practitioners to ensure timely policy development and research procurement.
  • The ecological and conservation community is currently failing to provide timely advice due to inadequate issue identification.
  • Horizon scanning is a valuable, yet underused, tool for proactive environmental management.

Conclusions:

  • Horizon scanning should be a standard element of environmental and conservation practice.
  • Implementing horizon scanning will improve the timeliness and evidence base of policy and research.
  • Proactive identification of future issues is crucial for effective conservation and environmental management.