Impact of select immunologic and virologic biomarkers on CD4 cell count decrease in patients with chronic HIV-1

Zabrina Brumme1, Bingxia Wang, Kriebashne Nair

  • 1Ragon Institute of Massachusetts General Hospital, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Harvard University, Boston, USA.

Insights

Plasma viral load and human leukocyte antigen (HLA) type, not CD8 T cell responses, predict CD4 cell count decline in HIV-1 subtype C infection. These biomarkers better differentiate disease progression rates in chronically infected individuals.

Area of Science:

  • Immunology
  • Virology
  • Genetics

Background:

  • Characterizing biomarkers influencing HIV-1 infection outcomes is crucial, especially for non-B subtypes.
  • Previous studies suggested HIV-1 protein-specific CD8 T lymphocyte responses correlate with immune control.
  • This study investigates these responses alongside clinical biomarkers in HIV-1 subtype C infection.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess the relationship between HIV-1 protein-specific CD8 T cell responses, established biomarkers, and CD4 cell count decrease rates.
  • To evaluate the predictive value of these markers for disease progression in HIV-1 subtype C-infected individuals.
  • To determine if CD8 T cell responses combined with other biomarkers improve prediction of CD4 cell count decline.

Main Methods:

  • Longitudinal cohort study of 300 therapy-naive adults with HIV-1 subtype C.
  • Analysis using bivariate and multivariate mixed-effects models.
  • Assessment of baseline CD4 cell count, plasma viral load, HLA class I alleles, and HIV-1 protein-specific CD8 T cell responses.

Main Results:

  • Baseline CD4 count, viral load, and protective HLA alleles significantly correlated with CD4 cell count decrease.
  • No correlation was found between HIV-1 protein-specific CD8 T cell responses and CD4 cell count decline.
  • Multivariate models showed that viral load and HLA type could discriminate CD4 cell count decreases over a 10-fold range.

Conclusions:

  • Plasma viral load and HLA class I type are key predictors of CD4 cell count decrease in chronic HIV-1 subtype C infection.
  • In vitro HIV-1 protein-specific CD8 T cell responses did not differentiate CD4 cell count decrease rates.
  • The combination of viral load and HLA type offers superior discrimination of disease progression compared to individual markers.
Abstract