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Fertility decline in Paraguay.
Kanako Ishida1, Paul Stupp, Mercedes Melian
1Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 4770 Buford Highway, NE Mail Stop K-23, Atlanta, GA 30341, USA. kishida@cdc.gov
Studies in Family Planning
|October 27, 2009
Summary
Paraguay
Area of Science:
- Demography
- Reproductive Health
- Sociology
Background:
- Fertility rates in Paraguay have significantly declined.
- Recent surveys indicate a drop from 4.3 to 2.9 births per woman between 1998 and 2004.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the factors contributing to the rapid fertility decline in Paraguay.
- To establish data consistency between 1998 and 2004 reproductive health surveys.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the Bongaarts framework of proximate determinants of fertility.
- Compared cohort-specific period rates and analyzed changes in contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR).
- Decomposed rates to assess the impact of CPR versus population composition changes.
Main Results:
- Increased contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR) fully explains the observed fertility decline.
- Changes in group-specific CPRs were more influential than shifts in educational attainment, urban residence, region, or language.
Conclusions:
- The fertility rate in Paraguay is likely to continue decreasing.
- Younger cohorts in 2004 desired fewer than 2.9 births, indicating a sustained trend.
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