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Negative controls: a tool for detecting confounding and bias in observational studies
Marc Lipsitch1, Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen, Ted Cohen
1Department of Epidemiology, Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA. mlipsitc@hsph.harvard.edu
Negative controls are crucial for identifying noncausal associations in observational studies. Employing these controls can help resolve confounding and other errors, improving the validity of causal inference.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Biostatistics
- Observational Studies
Background:
- Noncausal associations threaten causal inference in observational studies.
- Experimental studies typically control for noncausal associations through standardization and randomization.
- Negative controls are a common practice in biologic laboratory experiments to detect spurious causal inference.
Purpose of the Study:
- To highlight the utility of negative controls in observational studies for detecting noncausal associations.
- To distinguish between exposure and outcome negative controls.
- To identify conditions under which negative controls effectively detect confounding and other errors.
Main Methods:
- Review of epidemiologic literature for examples of negative controls.
- Distinction between two types of negative controls: exposure controls and outcome controls.
- Analysis of conditions for effective use of negative controls in detecting confounding.
Main Results:
- Negative controls, analogous to those in laboratory experiments, can identify and resolve confounding in epidemiology.
- Two types of negative controls (exposure and outcome) are identified and exemplified.
- Conditions for using negative controls to detect confounding are specified.
Conclusions:
- Negative controls should be more widely adopted in observational studies.
- Further research is needed to optimize the use of negative controls for detecting various sources of error.
- Increased use of negative controls can enhance the validity of causal inference in observational research.
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