Interacting epidemics on overlay networks

Sebastian Funk1, Vincent A A Jansen

  • 1School of Biological Sciences, Royal Holloway, University of London, Egham, Surrey TW20 0EX, United Kingdom.

Insights

Understanding pathogen spread on networks is complex. Positive correlation between network structures enhances protection against subsequent disease outbreaks, especially with heterogeneous networks.

Area of Science:

  • Complex Systems
  • Epidemiology
  • Network Science

Background:

  • Interactions between multiple pathogens on networks pose theoretical challenges.
  • Understanding these dynamics is crucial for predicting and controlling disease spread.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the impact of network structure on the interaction between two spreading processes.
  • To analyze how degree correlations and heterogeneity influence epidemic dynamics and protection.

Main Methods:

  • Studied bond percolation of two processes on overlay networks.
  • Analyzed arbitrary joint degree distributions and varying edge overlap.
  • Investigated partial and mutual immunity scenarios.

Main Results:

  • Positive degree correlation between networks enhances protection against a second pathogen.
  • Increased network heterogeneity amplifies protection when degrees are positively correlated.
  • Uncorrelated or negatively correlated degrees reduce the protective effect of the first pathogen.

Conclusions:

  • Network structure significantly impacts multi-pathogen interactions and disease control.
  • Degree correlations and heterogeneity are key factors in determining epidemic outcomes and coexistence thresholds.

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