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Related Experiment Video

Updated: Jun 10, 2026

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Identifying and structuring the objectives of terrorists.

Gregory L Keeney1, Detlof Von Winterfeldt

  • 1Duke University, The Fuqua School of Business, Masters of Management Studies Program, Durham, NC, USA. keeney.greg@gmail.com

Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis
|August 25, 2010
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Understanding terrorist motivations is key to combating terrorism. This study analyzes terrorist values and objectives from their own statements to inform counter-terrorism strategies and resource allocation.

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Area of Science:

  • Decision Analysis
  • Political Science
  • Psychology

Background:

  • Terrorism poses a significant global threat, necessitating effective counter-terrorism strategies.
  • Understanding terrorist motivations and target selection is crucial for optimizing resource allocation in counter-terrorism efforts.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine the underlying values and objectives that drive terrorist behavior.
  • To develop a novel approach for extracting terrorist values from their own communications.

Main Methods:

  • Utilizing principles from decision analysis and value-focused thinking.
  • Analyzing terrorist writings and verbal statements to identify core values.
  • Structuring extracted values into strategic, fundamental, and means objectives.

Main Results:

  • Identified and structured the objectives of Al-Qaeda based on their own communications.
  • Developed a means-ends network illustrating the interrelationships between terrorist objectives.

Conclusions:

  • The extracted values provide insights into terrorist motivations, intent, and likely actions.
  • This approach can inform the development of more effective counter-terrorism policies targeting root causes.