Stroke risk and antithrombotic strategies in atrial fibrillation

Although the stroke rate associated with atrial fibrillation has declined over the last 10 years, the emerging atrial fibrillation epidemic threatens to increase the incidence of cardioembolic stroke. Summary of Review-Oral anticoagulants are superior antithrombotic agents but are underused due to fear of bleeding and uncertainty about which patients will benefit. Individualized decisions on antithrombotic therapy require balancing the competing risks of thromboembolism and bleeding. The CHADS₂ (Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age > 75 years, and Diabetes mellitus, and 2 points for prior Stroke/transient ischemic attack) score and other schemes provide an estimate of thromboembolic risk; however, the external validity of these estimates in the context of well-controlled risk factors, or a hypercoagulable state, is uncertain. Moreover, it is very difficult to estimate bleeding risk. Recent studies highlight the need for meticulous international normalized ratio control to achieve optimal outcomes hampered by the high bleeding risk during oral anticoagulant inception and other limitations of warfarin. Dabigatran is at least as efficacious as warfarin in preventing stroke and systemic embolism for patients in whom the risk of thromboembolism outweighs bleeding risk. In addition, the results of ongoing trials evaluating alternative anticoagulants such as oral anti-Xa agents are awaited. In this review, we discuss emerging therapies including available and completed trials of direct antithrombins and anti-Xa agents, including ximelagatran, idraparinaux, and dabigatran; and new device therapies including left atrial appendage occlusion devices.

In light of these promising new therapies, it is likely that atrial fibrillation thromboembolism guidelines will need to be rewritten and frequently updated.