[Progression to ischemic heart disease in subjects with coronary calcification as evaluated by computed tomography]

It is well known that coronary artery calcification develops in patients with advanced coronary sclerosis. Currently, it can be easily detected by computed tomography (CT). We studied the correlation of CT-detected coronary calcification with its progression to myocardial infarction, and further with the prognosis in various patients who did not have symptoms suggesting ischemic heart disease. The subjects consisted of 241 patients (136 males, 105 females) with a mean age of 61 years, categorized as a calcified coronary artery group (82 patients) and a non-calcified coronary artery group (159 patients). In all the subjects nonenhanced serial cardiac-CT scans were performed with a GECT/T 9800 for detecting coronary calcification. The mean follow-up period was four years in both groups. Among the 82 patients with coronary calcification, four developed myocardial infarction (4.9%) and 14 patients died (17%). Among the 159 patients without coronary calcification, none progressed to myocardial infarction, but 17 patients died unrelatedly (11%). Although there was no significant difference in mortality between the two groups, there was a statistical significance (p less than 0.005) as to the incidence of progression to myocardial infarction. In males, there was no significant difference (13 vs 12%) in mortality between the two groups, but the calcified group had a higher incidence of progression to myocardial infarction than that of the non-calcified group (5.5 vs 0%). In females, the calcified group had higher mortality (26 vs 8.9%) and a more frequent incidence of myocardial infarction (3.7 vs 0%) than did the non-calcified group. In conclusion, patients with coronary artery calcification are likely to develop coronary artery disease rather rapidly, even though asymptomatic. Therefore, detection of coronary calcification by non-enhanced CT is helpful for estimating the prognosis of coronary artery disease.