Risk factors for relapse of visceral leishmaniasis in Georgia

Maia Kajaia1, Dale L Morse, George Kamkamidze

  • 1Maternal and Child Care Union, Tbilisi, Georgia. maiakajaia@yahoo.com

Insights

Identifying prognostic factors for visceral leishmaniasis (VL) relapse is crucial. Delays in diagnosis, low hemoglobin, and young age significantly increase VL relapse risk.

Area of Science:

  • Infectious Diseases
  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Visceral leishmaniasis (VL) relapses are increasing, necessitating identification of prognostic factors.
  • Early diagnosis and appropriate treatment are vital for managing VL patients.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify demographic and clinical factors associated with visceral leishmaniasis relapse.
  • To inform treatment decisions and improve patient outcomes.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of medical records from 300 VL patients treated in Georgia (2002-2004).
  • Data abstracted included demographics, diagnosis delays, and treatment regimens.
  • Statistical analysis to determine factors associated with relapse.

Main Results:

  • Factors significantly associated with VL relapse included diagnosis delay >90 days (RR=4.21), hemoglobin <60 g/l (RR=11.96), and age <1 year (RR=2.36).
  • Most patients were children under 5, and 44% experienced diagnostic delays exceeding 30 days.
  • Standard therapy involved pentavalent antimony for 20-25 days.

Conclusions:

  • Delayed diagnosis, severe anemia, and very young age are key predictors of VL relapse.
  • Public and physician education is essential to shorten diagnostic delays.
  • Consideration of longer treatment durations (30 days) or alternative regimens may reduce VL relapses.

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