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Risk factors for relapse of visceral leishmaniasis in Georgia
Maia Kajaia1, Dale L Morse, George Kamkamidze
1Maternal and Child Care Union, Tbilisi, Georgia. maiakajaia@yahoo.com
Abstract:
The number of relapses in patients treated for visceral leishmaniasis (VL) has increased, thus identifying prognostic factors may aid decisions on treatment. Demographic and clinical information was abstracted from medical records of patients diagnosed and treated in Georgia from 2002 to 2004. The 300 persons with VL were primarily children <5 years (73.3%), and ∼44% had delays in diagnosis of more than 30 days from symptom onset. All patients received standard therapy with pentavalent antimony (20 mg/kg/day), most for 20-25 days. Factors significantly associated with VL relapse were delay in diagnosis for >90 days (RR = 4.21, 95% CI: 1.58, 11.16), haemoglobin level <60 g/l (RR = 11.96, 95% CI: 4.12, 34.76) and age <1 year (RR = 2.36, 95% CI: 0.96, 5.80). Physician and public education is needed to reduce delays in diagnosis. Prolonging treatment for 30 days (e.g. WHO recommendation) or implementing new regimens may reduce the number of relapses.
Insights
Identifying prognostic factors for visceral leishmaniasis (VL) relapse is crucial. Delays in diagnosis, low hemoglobin, and young age significantly increase VL relapse risk.
Area of Science:
- Infectious Diseases
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Visceral leishmaniasis (VL) relapses are increasing, necessitating identification of prognostic factors.
- Early diagnosis and appropriate treatment are vital for managing VL patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify demographic and clinical factors associated with visceral leishmaniasis relapse.
- To inform treatment decisions and improve patient outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of medical records from 300 VL patients treated in Georgia (2002-2004).
- Data abstracted included demographics, diagnosis delays, and treatment regimens.
- Statistical analysis to determine factors associated with relapse.
Main Results:
- Factors significantly associated with VL relapse included diagnosis delay >90 days (RR=4.21), hemoglobin <60 g/l (RR=11.96), and age <1 year (RR=2.36).
- Most patients were children under 5, and 44% experienced diagnostic delays exceeding 30 days.
- Standard therapy involved pentavalent antimony for 20-25 days.
Conclusions:
- Delayed diagnosis, severe anemia, and very young age are key predictors of VL relapse.
- Public and physician education is essential to shorten diagnostic delays.
- Consideration of longer treatment durations (30 days) or alternative regimens may reduce VL relapses.
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