Survival after liver transplantation in patients who develop renal insufficiency

Renal insufficiency (RI) after liver transplantation (OLT) is associated with worse outcomes but the actual survival after RI ensues is not well described. We examined the survival of OLT recipients who developed moderate or severe RI or end-stage renal disease (ESRD), seeking to identify variables associated with these outcomes.

Between 1993 and 2007, 731 patients underwent OLT. After excluding patients undergoing retransplantation, combined kidney-liver grafts, and those who died within 1 year, we had a cohort of 527 subjects whose basic demographic data were obtained. Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) calculated (by MDRD4-Modification of Diet in Renal Disease 4-formula) at 3-month intervals in the first year and then at 6-month intervals. Moderate RI was defined as a GFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2); severe RI, GFR < 30; and ESRD by need for dialysis or renal transplantation. We determined survival from the point of developing RI. An analysis determined factors associated with survival.

Among 527 patients, 251 developed moderate (47.6%) and 40 (7.6%) severe RI as well as 40 (7.6%) with ESRD. Once RI ensued, the 5-year survivals for patients with moderate RI, severe RI or ESRD were 84.0%, 67.7%, and 48.5%, respectively. Five-year survival, for patients receiving a renal transplant was 100%. On multivariate Cox regression analysis, the only variables associated with time to death for patients with any RI were higher age at transplant (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.04, P = .02), higher creatinine at transplant (HR = 1.25, P = .01), pretransplant diabetes (HR = 2.34, P = .008), and transplantation in the Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) era (HR = 0.15, P = .002).

Development of severe RI or ESRD correlated with diminished survival. For patients with RI, age and creatinine at transplant, pretransplant diabetes, and transplantation in the pre-MELD era were associated with lower survival rates. Five-year survival for dialysis patients was somewhat higher than that previously reported but worse than that of subjects treated by renal transplantation.